The Super Bowl has finally arrived, and the Lombardi Trophy will head to a new home as the New England Patriots take on the Seattle Seahawks at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, Calif.
- For more Super Bowl LX coverage check out our Seahawks vs Patriots preview, which includes five expert NFL picks for tonight’s showdown.
For my top NFL PrizePicks and Underdog plays for the Super Bowl, I’m highlighting Sam Darnold, George Holani, and Drake Maye.
Sam Darnold
Less Than 6.5 Rushing Yards
This is the Super Bowl, and we will see each of these players put it all on the line here.
However, if there's one player who could afford to be risk-averse, it's Sam Darnold.
Darnold is going to play his second game through an oblique injury, which actually did not prevent him from scrambling for nine yards in the NFC Championship game. However, that effort marked just the seventh time he went over this total all season.
Darnold is far from a playmaker when he scrambles, averaging just four yards per rush and only two attempts per game.
Additionally, any short yard scramble could be negated by kneel-downs at the end of the game.
George Holani
More Than 1.5 Receptions
The Patriots defense has been very solid against the pass all season long, but they have one glaring hole: opposing running backs. Running backs have burned them in the passing game, as they rank 27th in receptions allowed to them.
While Kenneth Walker has gotten more receiving work in the absence of Zach Charbonnet, it's clear that Walker's pass protection issues are a concern. This led to George Holani seeing work in the passing game against the Rams.
Holani hauled in three of four targets in that matchup and should be in line for a similar target share on passing downs.
Drake Maye
More Than 0.5 Interceptions
This will be the toughest defense that Drake Maye has seen all season. While he faced a tough Broncos secondary in the AFC Championship Game, the conditions negated the passing game, yet he still had a 29 percent bad throw rate despite only attempting 21 passes.
Maye is generally very accurate, finishing second in the NFL in completion percentage. However, his 13 percent bad throw rate is high for someone who ranked ninth in interception rate.
Seattle's secondary is elite and tremendous at generating turnovers, ranking eighth in interception rate.
This is a bad matchup for Maye, who is overdue to throw an interception in a game script that will only increase those chances.
