NFL Player Props: Bet This Chase Claypool Over For Steelers vs. Seahawks On Sunday Night Football

NFL Player Props: Bet This Chase Claypool Over For Steelers vs. Seahawks On Sunday Night Football article feature image
Credit:

Joe Sargent/Getty Images. Pictured: Steelers WR Chase Claypool

  • What are the most valuable NFL player props on the board for Sunday Night Football?
  • Our expert leveraged his Steelers vs. Seahawks projections to identify the prop with the biggest edge.
  • Find out why Chase Claypool to go over his receiving yards is our top NFL player prop pick for Steelers-Seahawks.

Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics, is highlighting his favorite NFL player prop pick for every primetime game of 2021. He has a 422-321-5 (56%) all-time record on NFL bets he’s tracked in the Action app.


NFL Props: Seahawks-Steelers

Chase Claypool Over 63.5 Rec Yards

Claypool has flashed massive upside over his first 20 career games, but he’s been fairly inconsistent when Diontae Johnson and JuJu Smith-Schuster have been healthy. Whenever either WR has missed time this season, though, Claypool has capitalized:

  • Week 3 when Johnson was out: 9 catches, 96 yards, 0 TDs
  • Week 5 when Smith-Schuster missed second half: 5 catches, 130 yards, 1 TD

With Smith-Schuster out for the season, Claypool’s weekly floor and ceiling should rise.

Another encouraging sign was, once Smith-Schuster left last week’s game, Claypool saw an increase in his slot usage. In Weeks 1-4, he lined up in the slot only 15% of the time. In Week 5, Claypool lined up in the slot 40% of the time, catching two targets for 77 yards and a touchdown from the slot.

I don’t think the market has adjusted his projection enough, especially against a Seattle defense that’s allowed the second-most receiving yards to enemy wide receivers this season.

I’m projecting Claypool for closer to 70.5 and would bet this to 66.5 yards.

Pick: Over 63.5 Rec Yards (-110) at BetMGM

How would you rate this article?