Packers vs Lions Player Props: Jahmyr Gibbs, Christian Watson, More
Photo by Gregory Shamus/Getty Images. Pictured: Jahmyr Gibbs.
Packers vs Lions Player Props
In the table below, you'll find each of Sam Farley's top Packers vs Lions player props for Thanksgiving NFL Week 12. Click on any pick or team logo to navigate to a specific Packers vs Lions prop bet discussed in this article.
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Packers vs. Lions
Watson recorded his longest reception of the season back in Week 5 — a 77-yarder against the Raiders. He hasn't had too many long hauls since, though he did record a 37-yard catch in Week 9 against the Rams.
His line for Thanksgiving against the Lions sits at 20.5, a number he’s only surpassed in 4-of-7 games, and only once in his last four outings.
I think that changes against a Lions defense that could be exploited by the deep ball. With the Lions being heavy favorites, the Packers could be a in chasing game script that requires a lot of passing.
Back Watson to have a longest reception over 20.5 yards.
Pick: Christian Watson Longest Reception Over 20.5 (-113)
It was a Sunday to forget for LaPorta against the Bears as he put up his lowest yardage total of the season with just 18 on three receptions. I’m expecting a bounce back here against a Packers defense that allows an average of 49.1 receiving yards per game to tight ends.
LaPorta has gone over this line of 45.5 in 6-of-10 games this season, and I think he can do it again on Turkey Day.
This line has been rising so get in there early. I’d take this line all the way up to 47.5, but no higher.
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Where do you start with Gibbs? The rookie has been lights out over the last four games. While the return of David Montgomery has impacted Gibbs' usage, he’s still showing just how electric he can be.
Gibbs’ receiving yards line sits at 27.5, which seems wild considering he’s smashed that number every week since breaking out in Week 7.
The Packers allow an average of 31.2 receiving yards to running backs and Gibbs has the skillset to exceed that line with ease.
Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 27.5 Receiving Yards (-109)
I'm doubling up on Gibbs and backing him to score a touchdown. He has a better price than Montgomery (-137) and getting Gibbs at plus money feels like value when some books have him at -125.
Since Week 7, Gibbs has scored five times (in four games); more importantly, Montgomery's return from injury hasn't really impacted the Alabama product from finding the end zone.
I think Gibbs will continue to be dangerous against a Packers defense that can’t stop the run. They've allowed more rushing yards per game than all but four teams.
Pick: Jahmyr Gibbs Anytime Touchdown (+100)
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