Updated Patriots-Chiefs Weather Forecast: Should Bettors Worry About Cold Temperatures?

Updated Patriots-Chiefs Weather Forecast: Should Bettors Worry About Cold Temperatures? article feature image
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Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes

  • Bettors have been tracking the extremely cold forecast for the AFC Championship Game (6:40 p.m. ET, CBS) between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs throughout the week.
  • While meteorologists initially called for an "arctic blast" and single-digit temperatures around kickoff, an improving forecast has the Patriots-Chiefs over/under on the rise heading into today's kickoff.
  • As of Sunday afternoon, temperatures between 18-22 degrees are expected at Arrowhead Stadium for today's AFC Championship Game.

The weather forecast for today’s AFC Championship Game between the New England Patriots and Kansas City Chiefs (6:40 p.m. ET, CBS) has been one helluva ride for anyone following along throughout the week.

Oddsmakers opened the Patriots-Chiefs over/under at 58.5, but early forecasts calling for kickoff temperatures in the single digits sent the total plummeting to 54 as bettors quickly jumped on the under.

However, that forecast appears to have been premature, as expected kickoff temperatures steadily increased heading into the weekend. And with temps on the rise, the Patriots-Chiefs over/under followed.

As of Sunday afternoon, the latest forecast for Arrowhead Stadium is calling for temperatures between 18-22 degrees throughout the game.

While certainly not balmy, the term “arctic blast” is no longer being thrown around and savvy bettors are taking advantage.

The Ringer’s Bill Simmons assigned our John Ewing a homework assignment regarding how cold temperatures affect scoring in NFL games.

Ewing used our Bet Labs software to determine that since 2003, 58.8% of NFL games played in temperatures of 30 degrees or below went over the closing total.

Throughout the weekend, the over/under has continued to increase and currently sits at 56 across the betting market.

At the time of writing, 55% of tickets and 52% of dollars wagered on the total have come in on the over.

Be sure to download The Action Network’s mobile app to track real-time odds and betting percentages for today’s Patriots-Chiefs AFC Championship Game.