The Baltimore Ravens (7-7) host the New England Patriots (11-3) on Sunday Night Football on December 21. Kickoff from M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore, Md., is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. SNF will broadcast on NBC and Peacock.
The Ravens are 3-point favorites over the Patriots on the spread (Ravens -3; -120), with the game total at 48.5 points. Baltimore is a -185 favorite on the moneyline and New England is a +155 underdog.
Below, you can find our Patriots vs Ravens picks for Sunday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, over/under and two player props.
Patriots vs Ravens Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
| 8:20 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Sunday Night Football Odds
- Patriots vs Ravens Moneyline: Patriots +155, Ravens -185
- Patriots vs Ravens Spread: Patriots +3 (+100), Ravens -3 (-120)
- Patriots vs Ravens Total: 48.5
Patriots vs Ravens odds via bet365
Patriots vs Ravens Spread Prediction
By Billy Ward
The Ravens are technically the unlucky team in this matchup, though not enough to necessarily trigger a luck-based spread bet. However, they’re also just 1-5 straight up against teams with winning records this season, with the lone win coming in October against Chicago.
Of course, some of those games were without star QB Lamar Jackson, but discounting the games he missed, they’re 0-3 against winning teams. Jackson simply hasn’t been the same player, as the knee injury that caused him to miss four games is still limiting his rushing ability.
That has limited Baltimore to a merely average offense, ranking 14th in points per game and 15th in DVOA. Paired with a similarly average defense, it’s easy to see how the Ravens been able to beat up on bad teams but struggle against better ones.
The Patriots certainly fit in the latter category, with an 11-3 record and a realistic shot at the No. 1 seed in the AFC. I’m also not worried about this being a road game for New England since they’re accustomed to the cold climate they’ll be playing in tonight.
Most importantly, there are still books offering the Patriots at +3.5 on the spread, with the half-point being extra valuable around the key number of three. I’d take that down to -120, and consider setting up a middle if Baltimore moves to -2.5 at any point.
Pick: Patriots +3.5 (-115)
Patriots vs Ravens Over/Under Pick
The Ravens have not scored more than 24 points in a game since Week 10. Their offense has converted just 44% of red-zone opportunities into touchdowns this season, ranking 31st in the NFL in the scoring area.
Lamar Jackson was highly efficient last week, but it came against a Bengals defense that consistently makes the opposing offense look good.
The Patriots have been sound against the run this year, and I expect them to play better than they did a week ago. They suffered a crucial loss to the Bills, but Buffalo gained just 5.2 yards per play offensively. This will be a stiff test for the Baltimore offense that will reveal whether the Ravens truly feature the offense of a contender. I am skeptical Jackson is back to MVP form, or anywhere near it.
The Ravens defense has had a significant turnaround for the second consecutive season. Opposing offenses have scored a touchdown on just 15% of possessions since the Ravens’ Week 5 bye, making their defense league-best in this metric.
Drake Maye is coming off his least efficient game in the last three months and he faces an uphill battle versus a pass defense playing excellent football.
Simply put, this game is much more likely to play out with a 24-20 type score than one where either team reaches the 30s. The under offers tremendous value above the key number of 48.
Pick: Under 49 (-110); bet to 48.5
Patriots vs Ravens Player Props: TreVeyon Henderson
By Chris Prince
This is a great spot for TreVeyon Henderson in the passing game against the Ravens, who have allowed 41.6 receiving yards per game to opposing running backs (6th-most in the league).
Henderson has at least three targets in four straight games, and he has eclipsed this receiving yards number in four of his last six games. He just missed last week with 13 receiving yards.
Henderson brings a big-play element to this Patriots offense and can cover this in a single reception.
Pick: TreVeyon Henderson Over 13.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Patriots vs Ravens Player Props: Stefon Diggs
By Kyle Murray
There is solid value on this number at plus money for five receptions for Stefon Diggs.
We are likely getting a bit of a discount due to poor recent performances, but this is the best spot Diggs has seen in a while. The Pats come into this game as 3-point underdogs, so we could see increased pass volume (which has not been there for them due to them winning and/or playing from ahead in recent weeks).
The Ravens have also been a top-five matchup for opposing WRs, according to FTN's DVOA by position tool, and they are even the best matchup for WR1s.
Pick: Stefon Diggs Over 4.5 Receptions (+140)
