Koerner’s Projected NFL Playoff Betting Odds: Spreads & Over/Unders for Potential Wild-Card Matchups
Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Kenny Stills
The NFL playoffs are almost here.
Wild-card matchups will be set this Sunday, but as of now, there are 18 total possible variations between the AFC and NFC. So to give you an idea of what to expect from the market once the bracket is set, I've projected tentative odds for each potential matchup.
Note that how teams play in Week 17 — as well as other factors such as injuries — could shift these ratings, so I would urge you to not bet any lines based on the following projections until I have a chance to tweak them once the matchups are finalized.
Projected AFC Wild-Card Betting Odds
Below are my projected spreads and over/unders for the 11 possible AFC wild-card matchups.
Note that the only locked seeds are the Ravens at No. 1 and the Bills at No. 5, though all the Patriots need to secure the 2-seed is a win against the Dolphins. In that scenario, the Chiefs would finish as the 3-seed with a victory against the Chargers while the Texans would round out the top-four.
The Titans enter the week at No. 6, though the Steelers and Raiders still have outside chances at the AFC's final spot.
No. 5 Bills at No. 4 Chiefs
- Spread: Chiefs -7.5
- Over/under: 44
No. 5 Bills at No. 4 Texans
- Spread: Texans -3
- Over/under: 43.5
No. 6 Titans at No. 3 Patriots
- Spread: Patriots -6
- Over/under: 44.5
No. 6 Steelers at No. 3 Patriots
- Spread: Patriots -9
- Over/under: 38
No. 6 Raiders at No. 3 Patriots
- Spread: Patriots -11.5
- Over/under: 44
No. 6 Titans at No. 3 Chiefs
- Spread: Chiefs -7.5
- Over/under: 47
No. 6 Steelers at No. 3 Chiefs
- Spread: Chiefs -10.5
- Over/under: 41
No. 6 Raiders at No. 3 Chiefs
- Spread: Chiefs -14
- Over/under: 46.5
No. 6 Titans at No. 3 Texans
- Spread: Texans -3
- Over/under: 46.5
No. 6 Steelers at No. 3 Texans
- Spread: Texans -6
- Over/under: 41
No. 6 Raiders at No. 3 Texans
- Spread: Texans -8.5
- Over/under: 46.5
Projected NFC Wild-Card Betting Odds
Below are my projected spreads and over/unders for the seven possible NFC wild-card matchups.
Every berth is accounted for, but there are various seeding possibilities.
The only locked seed is the Vikings at No. 6, though the winner of the NFC East — either the Eagles or Cowboys — will finish as the 4-seed. Meanwhile, it's effectively a four-team race between the 49ers, Seahawks, Saints and Packers for the top seed.
No. 5 Seahawks at No. 4 Eagles
- Spread: Eagles -1.5
- Over/under: 44.5
No. 5 49ers at No. 4 Eagles
- Spread: 49ers -3.5
- Over/under: 44.5
No. 5 Seahawks at No. 4 Cowboys
- Spread: Cowboys -3
- Over/under: 48.5
No. 5 49ers at No. 4 Cowboys
- Spread: 49ers -2
- Over/under: 48.5
No. 6 Vikings at No. 3 Saints
- Spread: Saints -4.5
- Over/under: 45.5
No. 6 Vikings at No. 3 Packers
- Spread: Packers -3.5
- Over/under: 44
No. 6 Vikings at No. 3 Seahawks
- Spread: Seahawks -3
- Over/under: 45
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