Super Bowl 56 Touchdown Props: First, Anytime TD Odds Posted at BetMGM
Brian Rothmuller/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Cooper Kupp.
That was quick.
About an hour after the matchup was finalized, BetMGM posted touchdown props for Super Bowl LVI between the Bengals and Rams.
The names at the top shouldn’t be much of a surprise — Rams WR Cooper Kupp leads the way in the first touchdown market at +550. He scored first on Sunday against the 49ers. Bengals RB Joe Mixon is the first Cincy player on the board in both markets — +750 to score first and -140 to score at any point. He closed around -130 to score against the Chiefs, and failed to reach the end zone.
BetMGM has a 35% hold on this market, much higher than the very bettor-friendly 21% it has posted on average during the NFL playoffs. I’d expect some of these numbers to get better over the next two weeks, but 35% is about industry average.
There are a few injuries to track heading into this game, and therefore in touchdown markets. Rams TE Kendall Blanton caught five passes for 57 yards after Tyler Higbee went down, but Blanton is priced like he’ll start or see significant action — +1400 to score first, +240 to score anytime.
Higbee is priced in the exact same range. It’s a way for sportsbooks to offer all players without creating a big liability on Blanton if Higbee can’t play.
CJ Uzomah was also banged up for the Bengals in their win over the Chiefs, but he’s priced where he normally is for the Super Bowl. Backup TE Drew Sample is +400 to score anytime.
Super Bowl Touchdown Props
Odds via BetMGM. Confused? Learn more about American odds.
|Player||First TD||Anytime TD|
|Odell Beckham Jr.||+1000||+140|
Some other notes:
QBs are priced to sell
For touchdown props, quarterbacks must run the ball into the end zone for it to count.
That doesn’t prohibit more mobile quarterbacks from being priced among the favorites. Bills QB Josh Allen was +150 to score a rushing touchdown against the Chiefs.
But Joe Burrow (+550) and Matthew Stafford (+900) are longshots to score at any points. Burrow is +4000 to score first; Stafford +6600. They’re the 18th and 20th choices down the board, respectively.
Defenses priced differently
Despite being an underdog, the Bengals defense/special teams (+450) actually has a better chance of scoring than the Rams (+500), according to BetMGM.
Another Rams TE in the mix
We already covered Blanton’s price thanks to Higbee’s potential absence. But another Rams TE is getting a little bit of love from MGM, too.
Brycen Hopkins, a 2020 fourth-round pick out of Purdue, is +4000 to score first and +800 to score anytime. He’s caught just one career pass but could be in the mix for more work if Higbee can’t go.
Hopkins was inactive against the 49ers and played just one offensive snap against the Bucs in the Divisional Round.
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