Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Picks: The Bets We’ve Already Made

Chiefs vs Eagles Super Bowl Picks: The Bets We’ve Already Made article feature image

Chiefs vs Eagles Odds

Chiefs Odds+2
Eagles Odds-2
Moneyline+105 / -125
TimeFeb. 12, 6:30 p.m. ET
Odds via BetMGM, as of 11:15 p.m. ET. Get the latest Super Bowl odds here.

Super Bowl Picks

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Dabbundo: Chiefs +2
Stuckey: Chiefs +2
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Chiefs +2
Best Book

Anthony Dabbundo: The Eagles were the best team in the NFC entering the playoffs and deservedly won the conference, but you can’t ignore the low-quality quarterback play they've faced throughout season.

Kansas City has an excellent offensive line to slow Philly's pass rush and Patrick Mahomes will be much healthier in two weeks than he was in the AFC Championship game. The biggest uncertainty is the injuries among Chiefs receivers, as they lost Kadarius Toney, Mecole Hardman and JuJu Smith-Schuster during the game against the Bengals.

Eagles defensive coordinator Jonathan Gannon runs a passive, zone-heavy scheme that's had major issues against top-tier pocket passers since he arrived in Philly at the start of last season. They were picked apart by Tom Brady, Dak Prescott, Mahomes and even Derek Carr last season.

That being said, improvements were made this year. They added quality linebackers and a few secondary pieces, but again, have largely been untested. The Eagles faced three quarterbacks that finished in the top 10 in EPA per dropback. Jared Goff scored 35 points, Dak Prescott posted 40 and Trevor Lawrence fumbled five times in a driving rainstorm.

The Eagles will be able to successfully run the ball on this Chiefs front, but it’s absurd to me that they are suddenly rated as a better team when Kansas City was viewed as one almost all season in the betting market’s implied power ratings.

Maybe the Eagles really were just that good this year, but I’ll take the more efficient pass offense over the excellent run game as an underdog every time.

Kansas City at -1 or better is worth a bet for me.

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Chiefs +2
Best Book

Stuckey: I make the Chiefs a favorite here.

The Eagles are great. The NFC was garbage this season. Both can be true.

I feel like the market is completely overvaluing Philadelphia here. I get the sense we’ll look back at this line in 10 years and ask, “Why was the greatest quarterback of all time an underdog in the Super Bowl?”

The Eagles will exploit some of the Chiefs’ defensive weaknesses, although K.C.’s run defense has sneakily been better than it has over the past few years.

I respect both coaching staffs, but this is a bet on Patrick Mahomes getting me home, and I’m very comfortable with that.

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