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This is Daily Dangles, a column featuring our top expert’s NHL picks, predictions, and best bets.
Every day, one of our experts will provide you with some of the sharpest, high-value betting analysis on what the NHL schedule offers us.
For Sunday, November 15, Nick Griffith has us covered.
NHL Picks, Predictions Tonight
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- Oilers Moneyline (-148, DraftKings)
- Predators vs. Sharks Under 6.5 (-112, DraftKings)
- Golden Knights -1.5 (-148, DraftKings)
Oilers vs Flyers Pick
The Flyers had plenty of looks in Edmonton on Wednesday. Philadelphia outshot the Oilers 33-24, won the expected goals battle 4.19 to 2.88, and had a 21-13 edge in high-danger chances. The Flyers still lost 3-2 in overtime on an Evan Bouchard winner.
That has been the story for Philadelphia all season. The Flyers rank 31st in goals per 60 minutes at 2.29, and Philadelphia is no better at 5-on-5, also sitting 31st at 1.73.
Edmonton, meanwhile, has tightened up defensively. The Oilers shut out Toronto 1-0 last night, have allowed two goals or fewer in seven of the last nine games, and rank third in expected goals against per 60 at 2.67.
Offensively, the Oilers have scored nearly 20 more goals than expected, the most in the league. Vasily Podkolzin, Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl have outscored opponents 21-6 together at 5-on-5 while controlling 61.6% of the expected goals.
Both teams are playing for the second straight night, with Edmonton coming in from Toronto and Philadelphia from Columbus. Devon Levi and Joseph Woll started last night, so Tristan Jarry and Dan Vladar are the projected starters, though neither has been confirmed. Jarry stopped 31 of 33 shots in the last meeting, while Vladar has an .879 save percentage this season.
Philadelphia simply doesn’t score enough to make me nervous about laying the price with Edmonton.
Pick: Oilers Moneyline (-148, DraftKings)
Predators vs Sharks Pick
Nashville has won seven straight, mostly by keeping games low-scoring. The Predators have allowed just 21 goals over the last 10 games.
After a day off Saturday, I’d expect Juuse Saros to start, though it hasn’t been confirmed. Saros has a .921 save percentage and 11.0 goals saved above expected, third-most in the league.
The matchup helps, too. San Jose ranks last in 5-on-5 goals per 60 at 1.60 and last in 5-on-5 shooting percentage at 6.32%. The Sharks did put five past Utah last night, but that came after scoring two goals or fewer in five of the previous eight games.
With San Jose on the second half of a back-to-back, Alex Nedeljkovic will likely start in net. He has been solid through seven games, saving 5.1 goals above expected.
Nashville’s defense has been steady, and the Sharks can’t finish. With the total at 6.5, I’ll take the under.
Pick: Under 6.5 (-112, DraftKings)
Canucks vs Golden Knights Pick
This one doesn't need much explaining.
Vancouver has scored just four goals across the last three games and has lost 17 of its last 18 after starting the season 2-1-0.
The Canucks rank last in expected goal share at 39.42%, and Vancouver also allows a league-worst 4.49 goals per 60 minutes.
It hasn’t mattered who is in net. Vancouver’s .852 team save percentage ranks 32nd, with Kevin Lankinen at .805 and Leevi Merilainen at .885.
Vegas, on the other hand, ranks sixth in expected goal share at 55.04% and fifth in expected goals against per 60.
Vancouver is the worst team in the league by most measures, and the moneyline is a high price, so I’ll lay the goal and a half with the Golden Knights.
Pick: Golden Knights -1.5 (-148, DraftKings)
