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President Trump National Address Prop Bets: The Border Wall, Shutdown and More

Jan 08, 2019 3:00 PM EST
Credit:

President Donald Trump. Credit: Craig Bailey/FLORIDA TODAY via USA TODAY NETWORK

  • President Trump will make a prime-time address to the nation Tuesday at 9 p.m. ET.
  • Sportsbooks are offering a plethora of prop bets, including whether or not Trump will declare a national emergency, how long the shutdown will last, what color tie he will wear and more.

For those of you who ignore politics at all costs (honestly, who could blame you), the U.S. government has now been shut down for 18 days. Democrats and Republicans remain at an impasse over how to reopen the government, with the sticking point being whether or not to pay for President Trump’s long-promised border wall.

Last night, President Trump announced that he will make a prime-time address to the nation tonight at 9 p.m. ET.

Whether you support the wall or not, gamblers on both sides of the political aisle have an opportunity to exploit this political circus by doing what we do best — make money.

Earlier today, oddsmakers released a series of prop bets surrounding the national address, the border wall and the shutdown.

Will Trump Declare a National Emergency Over the Southern Border on or before January 22, 2019?

  • Yes 18.2% chance (+450 odds)
  • No 86.7% chance (-650 odds)

How Many False Statements Will Trump Make During his 9 p.m. ET national address? 

  • Over 3.5 statements 71.4% chance (-250 odds)
  • Under 3.5 statements 33.3% chance (+200 odds)

* Graded by the Washington Post

Will the US Government Shutdown End on or Before January 18, 2019

  • Yes  53.5% chance (-115 odds)
  • No  53.5% chance (-115 odds)

How Long Will Trump’s Speech Last? 

  • Over 8.5 minutes 54.5% chance (-120 odds)
  • Under 8.5 minutes 54.5% chance ( -120 odds)

What Color Tie Will Trump Wear?

  • Red 80% chance (-400 odds)
  • Blue 25% chance (+300 odds)
  • Striped 20% chance (+400 odds)
  • Any Other Color 12.5% chance (+700 odds)

How Many Times Will Trump Say “Wall?” 

  • Over 7.5 times 54.5% chance (-120 odds)
  • Under 7.5 times 54.5% chance (-120 odds)

How Many Times Will Trump Say “Crisis?”

  • Over 6.5 times 54.5% chance (-120 odds)
  • Under 6.5 times 54.5% chance (-120 odds)

Will Funding For the Border Wall Be Approved?

  • Yes 40% chance (+150 odds)
  • No 66.7% chance (-200 odds)

Who Will Speak First After Trump’s Speech?

  • Nancy Pelosi 66.7% chance (-200 odds)
  • Chuck Schumer 40% chance (+150 odds)

How Long Will The Democrat Rebuttal Last?

  • Over 11.5 minutes 54.5% chance (-120 odds)
  • Under 11.5 minutes 54.5% chance (-120 odds)

 

While the government shutdown and border wall are generating all the headlines, political pundits and gamblers alike are also keeping an eye on impeachment and the 2020 Election.

Here are the latest odds:

Will Trump be Impeached by the House in his 1st Term?

  • Yes 41.7% chance (+140 odds)
  • No 63% chance (-170 odds)

2020 Presidential Election Odds

  • Donald Trump 40% chance (+150 odds)
  • Beto O’Rourke 9.1% chance (+1000 odds)
  • Kamala Harris 9.1% chance (+1000 odds)
  • Bernie Sanders 6.7% chance (+1400 odds)
  • Joe Biden 6.7% chance (+1400 odds)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6.3% chance (+1500 odds)
  • Cory Booker 4.8% chance (+2000 odds)
  • Mike Pence 4.8% chance (+2000 odds)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 3.2% chance (+3000 odds)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3.2% chance (+3000 odds)
  • Hillary Clinton 3.2% chance (+3000 odds)
  • Oprah Winfrey 3.2% chance (+3000 odds)
  • Michelle Obama 3.2% chance (+3000 odds)
  • The Rock 2.4% chance (+4000 odds)
  • Michael Avenatti 2.4% chance (+4000 odds)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% chance (+5000 odds)
  • John Kasich 2% chance (+5000 odds)
  • Michael Bloomberg 2% chance (+5000 odds)
  • Mitch Landrieu 2% chance (+5000 odds)
  • Nikki Haley 2% chance (+5000 odds)
  • Paul Ryan 1.8% chance (+5500 odds)
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