Download the App Image

Saturday Soccer Expert Picks: Best Bets For Almeria vs. Celta Vigo & Stuttgart vs. Augsburg (Oct. 29)

Saturday Soccer Expert Picks: Best Bets For Almeria vs. Celta Vigo & Stuttgart vs. Augsburg (Oct. 29) article feature image
Credit:

Quality Sport Images/Getty. Pictured: Iago Aspas.

Saturday is for college football, we know that, but with a full slate of soccer odds released and no American football kick off until 12 p.m. ET, why not dive into the other version of football for a few wagers as we approach college football time.

Below, Nick Hennion and Brett Pund and have identified their top bets to make across the global soccer world.

Read on to see how our experts are taking advantage of the Saturday soccer slate with their best bets on Almeria vs. Celta Vigo and Stuttgart vs. Augsburg.

Our 2 Global Saturday Best Bets

Almeria vs. Celta Vigo

Almeria Odds +230
Celta Vigo Odds +125
Draw +225
Over/Under 2.5 (+110 / -136)
Time 8 a.m. ET
How To Watch ESPN+
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

Pund: If you’re going to wake up for some early soccer action, why wouldn’t you love a high-scoring La Liga match to start your morning? We should have that in Celta Vigo’s trip to Almería.

Starting first with the hosts, they tend to play more entertaining games at home, where those fixtures have averaged 2.86 combined expected goals (xG) and 5.6 big scoring chances per 90 minutes, according to fbref.com. This same play has also cashed in four of five home games.

It also helps that Almería rank in the bottom four in the Spanish top flight in xG allowed (17) and big scoring chances allowed (33).

Meanwhile, Celta Vigo’s road fixtures average the same amount of combined xG to go with the visitors allowing two big scoring chances per game away from home. Those road matches have ended with at least three goals in three-of-five this season.

This is also the same side that only has one clean sheet on the road. However, Almería have allowed a goal in all of their matches this campaign.

All of this adds up to a great opportunity for goals at the Power Horse Stadium.

Pick: Over 2.5 (+110)

Stuttgart vs. Augsburg

Stuttgart Odds -135
Augsburg Odds +340
Draw +290
Over/Under 2.5 (-146 / +120)
Day | Time 9:30 a.m. ET
How To Watch ESPN+
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute Soccer odds here.

Hennion: These two teams are on opposite ends of the luck spectrum, making this a perfect buy-low spot on Stuttgart.

Through 11 fixtures this season, Stuttgart have a -7 goal differential against a -0.86 xGOT differential and a -3 big scoring chances differential. Meanwhile, Augsburg have a -5 goal differential against a -12.54 xGOT differential and a -23 big chances differential.

Augsburg have also come up particularly lucky away from home. In those five matches, they have a +1 goal differential against a -4.77 xGOT differential and a -11 big scoring chances differential.

Finally, Stuttgart are only conceding 1.32 xGOT per 90 minutes against at home this season, down from a season-long average of 1.51. Plus, in their most recent home fixture against Bochum – a team on a similar level to Augsburg – Stuttgart won 4-1 while winning the xGOT battle 3.66 to 2.32.

Back the hosts up to -135.

Pick: Stuttgart ML (-135)

How would you rate this article?