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Andrey Rublev vs. Cristian Garin French Open Odds, Pick, Preview (May 28)

Andrey Rublev vs. Cristian Garin French Open Odds, Pick, Preview (May 28) article feature image
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QualitySport Images/Getty. Pictured: Andrey Rublev celebrates at the Monte Carlo Masters.

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Rublev vs. Garin Odds

Rublev Odds -410
Garin Odds +315
Over/Under 36.5
Time 5 a.m. ET
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

The second day of round three at the French Open kicks off with Andrey Rublev and Cristian Garin’s match.

These two will battle for the third time in their careers and the first time since 2019. Rublev leads the head-to-head 2-0.

Both players have arrived here with relative comfort, coming through each of their first two matches in four sets each. Who will find a way to disrupt the other’s rhythm and reach the fourth round of the French Open?

Let’s dive into it.

Garin Revitalized At The French

Garin was one of the most dominant players on clay courts just a few years ago. Winning four total titles in the 2019 and 2020 seasons, he worked his way up to No. 17 in the ATP rankings. Then, everything took a wrong turn.

He had a horrendous start to 2022. Following the Australian Open and entering the Golden Swing, he bowed out in his first match in three consecutive tournaments (all of which events he had won in the past).

Garin was fighting through multiple issues. He was changing rackets at an unusual frequency on top of battling an injury. Following his poor outings in South America, Garin even hinted at retirement as he said, “it’s not worth playing like this,” in relation to his losses likely resulting from his nagging injury.

With a glimpse of hope arising in Houston, it soon diminished as he headed to Europe and began his road trip winning just one of his first five matches there.

However, we are beginning to witness the once-talented Garin again. Winning five of his last six matches, with his only loss coming to Alexander Zverev, he has scored some impressive wins over Marin Cilic, Tommy Paul, and Ilya Ivashka.

Is he ready to face a top-10 player in Rublev?

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Rublev Remains Dominant But Not Perfect

Rublev has become one of the most consistent players on tour. Already racking up 27 wins on the year, he has taken home three titles, one of which was on clay in Belgrade.

Although clay is not his surface of choice, he has found remarkable success on the surface, sending opponents scrambling with his blistering forehand.

After previously reaching the quarterfinals here in 2020, he will look to do so again this year.

While Rublev has arrived to the third round without too much trouble, he has shown some vulnerability dropping a set to Soon-Woo Kwon and the mightily struggling Federico Delbonis.

Betting Value

With Garin appearing to be returning to his peak form, I believe he holds a lot of value as bookmakers are still basing his odds on his poor results earlier this year.

When Rublev is playing at the top of his game, he can dictate and hit through any opponent, but he does have periods where he misfires. This is expected for a player swinging at 100% on every groundstroke, as the timing comes down to milliseconds.

I expect Garin to keep this match competitive with his clay-court expertise. Garin has shown the potential of his top-20 form, and I believe he will have a chance to win this match and it is well worth a play given the odds.

Picks: Over 3.5 sets (-145 via FanDuel) | Garin ML (+320 via DraftKings)

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