Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur will meet in the quarterfinals of the Australian Open on Tuesday, January 27.
Alcaraz is coming off a straight-set victory over Tommy Paul in the Round of 16, while de Minaur cruised past Alexander Bublik. This match will tentatively start at 4:30 a.m. ET and will be broadcast on ESPN.
Find my Australian Open Quarterfinal preview and an Alcaraz vs. de Minaur prediction for Monday below.
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Alex de Minaur Player Prediction
- Alcaraz vs. de Minaur Picks: De Minaur +7.5 Game Handicap
My Alcaraz vs de Minaur best bet is on de Minaur to cover the +7.5 game handicap. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live Australian Open odds page.
Alcaraz vs de Minaur Odds
| Carlos Alcaraz Odds | -468 |
| Alex de Minaur Odds | +363 |
| Spread | Alcaraz -6.5 |
| Over/Under | 36.5 (-115o / -105u) |
| Alcaraz-De Minaur H2H | 5-0 |
| Time | How to Watch | Tuesday, 4:30 a.m. ET | ESPN, ESPN+ |
| Odds via DraftKings | |
Alcaraz vs de Minaur Preview, Prediction
by Tudor Cosma
Carlos Alcaraz Betting Preview
Alcaraz is a 22-year-old Spaniard currently ranked No. 1 in the world. Alcaraz is guaranteed to remain at the top of the ATP rankings regardless of the outcome of this quarterfinal. However, his objective is singular and clear: the trophy.
If he wins, he will achieve a historic milestone as the youngest player in history to complete the Career Grand Slam. He has explicitly stated that this is his primary goal for the season, making him ultra-motivated.
Already the youngest world No. 1 in history and the youngest to win majors on all three surfaces, Alcaraz is arguably the most spectacular player currently active. His playing style, characterized by breathtaking shots and constant smiles, has earned him a massive global fanbase.
He has recently balanced his natural "showman" instincts with more pragmatism to improve his efficiency, particularly with a much-improved serve that makes breaking him a daunting task for any opponent.
His 2025 season was incredible, featuring titles at Roland Garros and the US Open, alongside trophies in Monte Carlo, Rome, Queen's and Cincinnati.
He entered this year's Australian Open without playing any warm-up tournaments, citing a focused offseason following his split with longtime coach Juan Carlos Ferrero.
So far in Melbourne, Alcaraz has not dropped a set, navigating moments of pressure with the poise of a veteran.
Alex de Minaur Betting Preview
De Minaur is a 26-year-old Australian currently ranked No. 6 in the world, the highest position of his career.
Based on his current form, de Minaur looks capable of pushing toward the top three. He has reached peak sporting maturity, and while he has historically struggled against the very top tier (specifically Jannik Sinner), he remains a threat to anyone in the right conditions.
Known as one of the fastest players on tour, "The Demon" is a defensive wall from the baseline. He has significantly bolstered his own serve recently, and his relentless energy on the return makes him a nightmare to play against.
He is mentally resilient and thrives on the energy of his home crowd at Melbourne Park, where he has never lost to a lower-ranked opponent.
De Minaur’s 2025 was his second consecutive year finishing in the top 10, highlighted by a title in Washington and a semifinal run at the ATP Finals. He started 2026 strongly at the United Cup and has been exceptional this week, dropping only one set so far.
His fourth-round demolition of Bublik, where he did not face a single break point, was a major statement of intent.
Alcaraz vs de Minaur Predictions, Betting Analysis
While Alcaraz has yet to drop a set, he has been pushed into several tiebreaks and has occasionally struggled with service consistency. Questions remain about how he will handle the extreme pressure of the second week without Ferrero in his box.
Conversely, de Minaur is playing the best tennis of his life. His performance against Bublik showed he is returning at an elite level and serving with newfound authority.
With a boisterous home crowd behind him, I expect the Australian to keep the scoreline very competitive.
My prediction is that de Minaur will not get crushed in this one.
Pick: Alex de Minaur +7.5 Game Handicap
