French Open Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner Odds, Picks, Predictions (May 30)

French Open Andrey Rublev vs. Jannik Sinner Odds, Picks, Predictions (May 30) article feature image
Credit:

Adam Pretty/Getty. Pictured: Jannik Sinner.

  • Andrey Rublev is a marginal favorite against Jannik Sinner at the French Open.
  • Luke Holmberg breaks down the fourth round match and provides his betting analysis.
  • Read on to see where he has found value in this one.

Looking for our best bet on Rublev's quarterfinal match? Click here!

Rublev vs. Sinner Odds

Rublev Odds-120
Sinner Odds+102
Over/Under38.5
Time10:30 am ET
Odds via FanDuel. For tips on watching tennis matches, click here.

Jannik Sinner and Andrey Rublev will face off for the fourth time in their careers on Monday at the French Open. 

Sinner leads the head-to-head 2-1, winning each of the last two and boasting a 2-0 record on the clay.

As both players look to reach the quarterfinals at the French Open for the first time since their runs in 2020, only one can match their tournament best result.

Who will prevail? Let’s dive into it.

Andrey Rublev Still Seeking Deep Slam Run

Rublev is a man familiar with winning. Already holding 28 wins this year following a 52-win season in 2021, Rublev is an all-court threat.

Despite his astonishing performances, the one thing Rublev has yet to do is make a breakthrough at a Grand Slam.

He has yet to make it beyond the quarterfinals in any slam and will be looking to do so here.

Rublev has arrived in the fourth round winning each prior match in four sets with relative comfort. Much like any match of his, he has looked to control the point off his forehand and he's found success in doing so.

I believe the reason Rublev has struggled to make a deep run at a Slam is because he is quite one-dimensional. When his groundstrokes aren’t locked in, or his opponent is countering his pace well, he struggles to find a way through.

When he is hitting well, he can beat any player in the world, but will he on a big stage in a best of five format here?

Jannik Sinner Ready to Go

At only 20 years old, Sinner has quickly made a name for himself. Having already debuted in the top-10, Sinner is bound to be near that rank for years to come.

Following a season in which he lifted four titles, Sinner has failed to make a deep run this year at any event. It seems as though he always runs into trouble staying healthy throughout a tournament. Whether it be blisters or an illness, he has been unable to perform at the top of his game for a week or more.

Remarkably enough, Sinner is yet to lose in the first or second round of a tournament this year. Despite this, he holds a horrendous 0-5 record in the quarterfinals of tournaments on the season.

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Betting Value

In this matchup, Sinner has the better backhand in addition to his defensive skills and I believe that will be the difference.

Although Rublev has the biggest weapon in his forehand, Sinner has many more in his back pocket and similar to their previous matches on clay, he will be able to showcase them on the slower courts.

Sinner is also able to hold his nerve the better of the two. Highlighted by various matches in which he saved match points and/or broke his opponent while they were serving for the match while going on to win, Sinner is ice-cold.

With the combination of Sinners mental game, variety of weapons, and problem solving, I believe he will find his way through Rublev again.

It might not be easy, but expect a healthy Sinner to come out on top.

PickSinner ML (+102)

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