Nadal vs. Federer Wimbledon Odds, History: Roger Has Struggled as Underdog vs. Rafa


Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer

  • Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer meet for the 14th time in a Grand Slam in their illustrious careers.
  • Nadal holds a 10-3 edge over Federer, but is just 1-2 against him at Wimbledon.
  • Nadal is currently listed as a -140 favorite against Federer, the 4th-consecutive Grand Slam match Rafa has been listed as the favorite vs. Federer.

Roger Federer vs. Rafael Nadal Wimbledon Betting Odds

Roger Federer odds: +120
Rafael Nadal odds: -140

For the 14th time in a Grand Slam and the 40th time in their illustrious careers, Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal will face off on Friday morning in London in the semifinals of the 2019 Wimbledon Championships.

This is the fourth time the two generational talents have met in the final four at the All England Club. Federer has won two of their three previous encounters in this spot.

Overall, though, Nadal holds a 24-15 edge against the Swiss Maestro. That includes a 10-3 record in Grand Slams. The Spaniard has won seven of their last eight meetings in a major championship.

Let’s take a look at the betting history behind Nadal and Federer’s 13 Grand Slam matches dating all the way back to their first showdown in 2005…

The Underdog…Again

For the fourth time in a row, Nadal is favored over Federer in a Grand Slam match. Nadal holds a 2-1 edge in their last three encounters with Federer’s win coming as a short underdog (+113) in the 2017 Australian Open Final.

Overall, Nadal has been favorite in eight of their 13 Grand Slam matches (not including Friday’s semifinal). Nadal is 6-1 as a favorite over Federer, with his lone loss coming at the aforementioned 2017 Aussie Open.

Federer is 2-4 as a favorite against the King of Clay.

Three Out Of Four

Rafael Nadal and Roger Federer have faced off in three of the four Grand Slams in their illustrious careers. Incredibly, the two stars have never met at the US Open.

Nadal is a sparkling 6-0 against Federer at the French Open, but just 1-2 at Wimbledon. On surfaces other than clay, Nadal holds a 4-3 edge at Grand Slams.

Over the past five years Federer has actually had his way with Nadal off the dirt. Fed has won each of their last seven meetings on grass/hard surfaces in that span.


Just Short…

Nadal and Federer will meet before the final of a Grand Slam for just the fifth time in their storied history.

The previous four times? Rafa had the edge.

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