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Ugo Humbert vs. David Goffin Wimbledon Odds, Preview, Prediction (July 1)

Ugo Humbert vs. David Goffin Wimbledon Odds, Preview, Prediction (July 1) article feature image
Credit:

Ryan Pierse/Getty. Pictured: Ugo Humbert.

Humbert vs. Goffin Odds

Humbert Odds +130
Goffin Odds -155
Total 39.5 (-105 / -115)
Time | How to Watch 8:20 a.m. ET | ESPN+
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Young Ugo Humbert was having a mess of a season, but it seems the friendly confines of a grass court have revived him.

The Frenchman enters his third-round Wimbledon match against David Goffin brimming with confidence, and should have the veteran on upset alert Friday.

Let’s get into this one.

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Humbert Rising To Occasion

Rankings be damned, Humbert is playing some excellent tennis at the moment.

The 24-year-old, who reached No. 25 in the world just a couple of years ago, has fallen out of the top 100 with some brutal losses over the course of the 2022 season. He entered Wimbledon with six wins in 23 matches, which is a putrid run for anyone on tour.

Humbert has regained his form in short order on the grass, which is by far his best surface. Though he’s only played three grass-court seasons, he’s yet to have a losing record on the turf in any one season. He won his third career ATP title on the grass last year in Halle and has a big lefty serve which really plays up on this surface.

The Frenchman looks to be in unstoppable form at Wimbledon. Yes, he’s dropped three sets in two matches, but Humbert has found his serve with consistency and he’s also displayed a level on the return we simply haven’t seen all season long. He is landing some aggressive strikes for winners in return games and he’s getting second serves back in play deep in the court.

These are significant developments for a guy that – when in form – is one of the hardest men to break on tour on a fast surface.

Goffin In Midst Of Revival

If you want a career revival, look no further than Goffin, who was once in the top 10 but has seen a freak injury to his eye derail all his momentum.

Now 31, he’s beginning to put together some good results and had a significant clay-court season which brought him 14 wins in 19 matches.

Goffin isn’t a player who packs a huge punch, which is why he’s been a player who has had fleeting grass-court results. He had one excellent season in 2019, going 10-3, but other than that he’s been nothing more than average.

The Belgian was in fantastic form in 2019, yet he was taken out by Humbert in their only career meeting, which took place that year on the indoor hardcourts of Antwerp. A fast indoor hardcourt such as that one is the closest you’re going to get to grass, and it’s hard to argue that Goffin was in bad form when that match took place.

The 31-year-old has played just three matches on grass, so his form is hard to solve.

He lost in short order to Daniil Medvedev before winning his first two matches here at the All England Club. While they both came in straight sets, they came against somewhat questionable competition in Radu Albot and Sebastian Baez.

Betting Value

Humbert was perhaps one of the five most dangerous players at Wimbledon just a year ago, and while I’m not ready to say he’s back at that level, it’s important to remember what he’s capable of on a grass court.

He has done nothing but accomplish the tasks ahead of him here at Wimbledon, which included the seventh top-10 win of his career in 12 tries. He is in excellent shape, and he has the tools to hit Goffin off the court.

I expect him to do just that.

Pick: Humbert +130

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