Wimbledon Qualifying Odds, Picks, Analysis: Best Bets for Wednesday Men’s Matches (June 22)
Justin Setterfield/Getty. Pictured: Arthur Fery.
After a day off, the men are back at Roehampton for the second round of Wimbledon qualifiers.
Let's dive into a pair of matches that look intriguing from a betting perspective for Wednesday!
Match times are subject to change. Read here for tips on viewing tennis matches.
Christopher Eubanks (-210) vs. Lukas Rosol (+155)
6 a.m. ET
First up is a match between two guys who find themselves just two wins from Wimbledon's main draw, despite having played a combined three matches on the grass this season. That includes their first round of qualifying wins.
Chris Eubanks and Lukas Rosol square off in a battle of big servers on the quickest courts the sport has to offer.
This one may not be the prettiest or most entertaining match of the day, but it does provide an opportunity to back a nice plus-money over.
Both Rosol and Eubanks are capable of firing those first serves, and neither are remotely athletic or strong on return. Rosol failed to break against the lone big server he played on grass this season, while Eubanks posted a break rate of about 3% last year on grass.
This one has all the makings of a match where breaks of serve will be few and far between.
Weak backhand wings will also be prevalent in this one, and if each guy is smart, they'll look to target that side in their service games.
With that said, it may not be advisable to back the 36-year-old Rosol to keep up on serve over the course of an entire match. We saw him struggle in the second set in his lone warmup event, taking Gijs Brouwer to a tiebreak in the opening set, before beingrolled in the second.
The first serve over looks like the best play for the match.
Pick: 1st set over 10.5 games (+135 via BetMGM)
Arthur Fery (-125) vs. Nicolas Moreno de Alboran(-105)
6 a.m. ET
The second match features young Brit Arthur Fery taking on Nicolas Moreno de Alboran.
It's interesting to see this one priced up so closely for a few reasons.
First, the experience on the surface favors Stanford sophomore. Despite having a losing record in his career, he's played eight times as many matches on a surface that can be really tricky to navigate.
That includes a surprising run to the final round of qualifying a year ago, where he blew a two sets to love lead against Tallon Griekspoor. In fact, all three of his career wins on the grass have come in Wimbeldon qualifying.
He's had some tough three-set losses this season to Challenger mainstay Constant Lestienne and the massive server Otto Virtanen.
With his game well-equipped on the surface, a strong backhand at his side and more experience on the lower-bouncing courts, Fery should be a much larger favorite.
Moreno de Alboran is coming off his first career professional match on the grass, having beaten Manuel Guinard – who himself was making his pro debut on the surface.
As more of a grinding player that has seen more success on slower hard courts and clay courts, it's tough to see how his game will translate with any kind of success to the grass.
I think the American without any potent weapons is getting far too much respect on these lightning quick courts.
Pick: Fery ML (-125 via BetMGM)
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