The Minnesota Lynx (12-3) and Washington Mystics (6-7) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:30 p.m. ET at CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. The game will be broadcast live on Victory+.
The Lynx are favored by -6.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 167.5 (-110/-110). Minnesota is a -285 favorite to win outright, while the Washington Mystics are +230 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Lynx vs. Mystics predictions and WNBA picks.
Lynx vs. Mystics Odds, Pick
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -115 | 167.5 -110o / -110u | -285 |
| Mystics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -105 | 167.5 -110o / -110u | +230 |
- Lynx vs. Mystics Spread: Lynx -6.5 (-110), Mystics +6.5 (-110)
- Lynx vs. Mystics Over/Under: 167.5 (-110/-110)
- Lynx vs. Mystics Moneyline: Lynx -285, Mystics +230
- Lynx vs. Mystics Best Bet: Mystics +7.5
Lynx vs. Mystics Preview
This number asks Minnesota to win comfortably on the road, even though Washington just took this exact matchup 84-79 on Sunday.
Washington has won four of its past five, while Minnesota is 3-2 over that same span. The Mystics also have more momentum after back-to-back wins over New York and Minnesota, and that matters when catching more than two possessions as a home underdog.
There is no scheduling angle muddying the price, as both teams are coming off the June 21 meeting with equal rest, so this spread has to be justified by team strength alone.
Minnesota is the better team over the full season, but injury context also matters here. Napheesa Collier is out with an ankle injury, and Dorka Juhasz is out with a foot injury. For a road favorite laying 7.5 points, those absences are hard to ignore.
Sunday's game also gave Washington a pretty clean blueprint for staying inside this number again. The Mystics won the fourth quarter 28-19, while Minnesota went just 4-for-21 from 3-point range in the loss.
Lynx vs. Mystics Prediction
Minnesota is favored for a reason, but this looks more like a spread-value spot than a game to chase on the moneyline. Washington already proved it can handle this matchup, but the Mystics don't even need another outright win to cash this ticket.
That 7.5-point cushion is meaningful in a rematch with equal rest, better recent form, and a home floor that just saw Washington beat one of the league's best teams. The Mystics are shooting 44.8% from the field this season, which is 5.4 percentage points higher than Minnesota usually allows, and Sonia Citron is coming off a 21-point effort in Sunday's win.
The market respects Minnesota's bigger season profile, but the recent matchup says Washington is well-positioned to keep this one competitive. I'll take the points with the home underdog.
Best Bet: Mystics +7.5
