The Los Angeles Sparks (11-15) and Seattle Storm (16-11) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 10:00 p.m. EDT at Climate Pledge Arena in Seattle, Wash. The game will be broadcast live on ION.
The Storm are favored by -4.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 168.5 (-110o / -110u). The Storm are a -200 favorite to win outright, while the Sparks are +165 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Sparks vs. Storm prediction and WNBA picks.
Sparks vs. Storm Odds, Pick
| Sparks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -110 | 168.5 -110o / -110u | +165 |
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -110 | 168.5 -110o / -110u | -200 |
- Sparks vs. Storm Spread: Storm -4.5 (-110 ), Sparks +4.5 (-110)
- Sparks vs. Storm Over/Under: 168.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Sparks vs. Storm Moneyline: Sparks +165, Storm -200
- Sparks vs. Storm Best Bet: Under 169.5
Kate Constable's Sparks vs. Storm Prediction, Betting Analysis
Typically, Seattle's an under team. Their defense is just so good. They've been the number one defense for a while and have the best defensive rating in the league.
As for the Sparks, they're usually on the other side. Their offense has been great and you usually look to overs in Sparks games, but if you really kind of nail down what they've done in the past three, four, five games — their defense has improved a ton.
And the addition of Cameron Brink, when you add a player of her caliber to an offense, things get a little clunky initially. It's not always smooth sailing as everyone's kind of adjusting and learning how to play with Brink, especially because this rendition of the Sparks didn't play with Brink all that much last season before she got hurt. In fact, Kelsey Plum wasn't even on the team, so adding Brink into the offense, I wonder if that isn't as quite as seamless as one might think.
On the other side, Brink will be great on defense and at protecting the rim. That's going to come immediately, while the offense might come two, three games down the road.
The Storm also have a great three-point defense and allow the fewest three-point attempts. They're allowing teams, over the past five games, to shoot 30% from three — the best opponent three-point defensive mark in the league.
In the most recent meeting between these teams, the total was 156.5, so this is almost a 10-point increase from that game. That just seems off to me, so I'm to go with the under here.
Best Bet: Under 169.5
