The Golden State Valkyries (15-7) and Toronto Tempo (9-11) meet in the WNBA tonight. Tipoff is set for 7:00 p.m. EDT at Coca-Cola Coliseum in Toronto. The game will be broadcast live on KPIX.
The Valkyries are favored by -7.5 on the spread, with the over/under set at 166.5 (-110o / -110u). The Valkyries are a -295 favorite to win outright, while the Tempo are +240 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Valkyries vs. Tempo predictions and WNBA picks.
Valkyries vs. Tempo Odds, Pick
| Valkyries Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-7.5 -105 | 166.5 -110o / -110u | -295 |
| Tempo Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+7.5 -115 | 166.5 -110o / -110u | +240 |
- Valkyries vs. Tempo Spread: Valkyries -7.5 (-105), Tempo +7.5 (-115)
- Valkyries vs. Tempo Over/Under: 166.5 (-110o / -110u)
- Valkyries vs. Tempo Moneyline: Valkyries -295, Tempo +240
- Valkyries vs. Tempo Best Bet: Over 166.5
Valkyries vs. Tempo Preview
The Valkyries come into this matchup with a 15-7 record and sit third in the Western Conference. They’ve been one of the league’s hottest teams, winning five straight games and opening this road trip with victories over the Atlanta Dream and the Washington Mystics.
After tonight's game, Golden State still has two more road games before returning home on July 18. With the way they’ve been playing, the Valkyries will look to keep their winning streak alive and stay near the top of the conference.
The Toronto Tempo, meanwhile, are 9-11 and fifth in the Eastern Conference. They’ve had three days off since an 89-76 loss to the Dallas Wings, giving them some time to regroup.
Marina Mabrey was the bright spot in that defeat, finishing with 19 points, five assists, and five rebounds. Toronto has had plenty of rest, making this another good opportunity to bounce back against one of the WNBA’s hottest teams.
Valkyries vs. Tempo Prediction
Evan Abrams' system titled Home Dog Overs in WNBA O/U play is built on the premise that home underdogs often generate more competitive and offense-driven games than the market anticipates during the regular season.
When a home team enters off a previous game that fell short of the total, public sentiment can lean toward another lower-scoring outcome, especially if early movement on the number trends downward from open to close.
By backing the Over in these spots, the model assumes that regression in shooting efficiency and pace is likely, particularly for a home side motivated to respond after a muted offensive showing. As an underdog at home, like Tempo tonight, the team is expected to push tempo to close the gap, which can create more possessions and late-game scoring volatility.
In the WNBA, where familiarity with home rims and crowd energy can elevate offensive confidence, backing the over in these home dog scenarios seeks to capture games where urgency and regression combine to lift scoring beyond conservative market adjustments.
Best Bet: Over 166.5
