WNBA Best Bets Today | Odds, Picks for Mercury vs. Fever, Dream vs. Aces, More (August 1)
David Becker/NBAE via Getty Images. Pictured: A’ja Wilson #22 of the Las Vegas Aces.
Action Network WNBA betting contributor Dano Mataya joined host Maria Marino on the BUCKETS Podcast on Tuesday to break down the WNBA betting slate, including best bets from both games.
Be sure to subscribe to the BUCKETS Podcast wherever you find your podcasts to get all the latest episodes throughout the WNBA season. You can also read about Tuesday's best bets below.
Lynx vs. Sun Odds
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+11.5 -115 | 162.5 -110 / -110 | +490 |
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-11.5 -105 | 162.5 -110 / -110 | -750 |
I like the over here. We have seen four straight overs hit in Minnesota Lynx games, and I think we're going to see a lot of points from the Connecticut Sun today. I don't hate the Sun team total over either, which is 87.5 on FanDuel. Alyssa Thomas missed at least eight layups last game that went in and out.
In the last game between these teams, the first half over and full game over both hit. The line is only up a point and a half to 162.5 from 161, so I still like it there. We know this Lynx team is not going to quit, so we should see a lot of points.
Pick: Over 162.5 |
Mercury vs. Fever Odds
| Mercury Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6 -110 | 159.5 -110 / -110 | +215 |
| Fever Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6 -110 | 159.5 -110 / -110 | -265 |
I think Indiana has not covered as a favorite once, to this day, in the last three years. This will be the biggest spread for Indiana in the past three years. Nothing about this team tells me that they're trustworthy enough to get this job done. I put this line closer to 3.5, even if Brittney Griner isn't there. Aliyah Boston simply is not getting the touches, and that's who you'd be worried about in a game like this, when there's no Brittney Griner post presence down low.
The great thing about the way Phoenix plays when Griner's out is using Megan Gustafson, who's basically a threat from three, to pull Aliyah Boston out of the paint and open up a lot of drives. Diana Taurasi came back last game and scored 24 points, so she's still got it kicking. They have a lot of players who play hard, want to win for their new coach and want to win for Brittney back home.
From the eye test, it looks like the Fever are not having fun. They were absolutely blown out by the Storm in a spot where the Storm where they had won their first game after a 10-game losing streak. It was a perfect spot for the Fever, but they fell behind by 20 in the first half, pulled within six and then Seattle ran away with it.
I think you have to take the value with the points here. I wouldn't mind taking Indiana live at some point, just because the Mercury are hard to trust. However, 6.5 is way too many points against the Indiana Fever.
Bet: Mercury +6.5
Dream vs. Aces Odds
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -108 | 178.5 -106 / -114 | +730 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -112 | 178.5 -106 / -114 | -1300 |
I like betting the Liberty in the first half, but I love betting the Aces in the first half, especially at home. They've only not covered a first half against four teams this season. They are 10-2 against the spread in the first half at home this season.
Their first half numbers at home are wild. Their Net Rating is +29 at home and +23.9 overall. The Dream, meanwhile, are closer to the bottom. They are 9th in overall NET rating at -5.8 and they are -12.2 in away games. We are looking at a 41 point difference in NET rating in the first half.
This is what the Aces do, they have been putting teams away early and usually coasting to victory. This is a great spot for them here as well. The line is currently 8.5 on FanDuel. I expect them to be up double-digits at the half, so I'd play this up to -10.
Pick: Aces -8.5 1H |
What is QuickSlip?
QuickSlip is an Action Network feature that allows users to automatically pre-load their bet slip at FanDuel Sportsbook.
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