WNBA Best Bets: Odds, Picks for Sparks vs Lynx (June 11)
Via Barry Gossage/Getty Images. Pictured: Nneka Ogwumike #30 of the Los Angeles Sparks walks on to the court before the game against the Phoenix Mercury on May 12, 2023 at Footprint Center in Phoenix, Arizona.
- There's a full slate in the WNBA on Sunday, and our top analyst has picks ready for five games.
- He's eying player props, spread picks, team totals and more.
- Find Jim Turvey's best WNBA bets and analysis below.
Each and every team in the WNBA is in action on Sunday, the first full slate of the season, and a glorious day for WNBA bettors. Sadly, the books didn't do their part, releasing lines only the morning of despite no WNBA games on Saturday, and with only a few scattered player props released as of writing.
Even still, we have a few edges for you to bet and a few potential angles for you to look at as these markets (hopefully) begin to open as the day goes along. There's nonstop WNBA action all day — who can complain?!
WNBA Odds & Picks
Click on game to skip ahead
| Matchup | Time |
| Wings vs. Liberty | 1 p.m. ET |
| Mystics vs. Storm | 3 p.m. ET |
| Sky vs. Aces | 3 p.m. ET |
| Sun vs. Dream | 4 p.m. ET |
| Sparks vs. Lynx | 7 p.m. ET |
Wings vs. Liberty Odds
| Wings Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+8.5 -110 | 169.5 -110/ -110 | +320 |
| Liberty Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-8.5 -110 | 169.5 -110/ -110 | -430 |
My favorite look here is the Wings team total under. This is a team that has notably struggled against the best teams (and best defenses) in the league this season, in part due to the lack of efficiency from two of their top three players. Against an elite Liberty defense, I see that pattern continuing.
In particular, I see a tough day for Natasha Howard against her former team and will be looking to be the under on her points prop. I have more extensive thoughts on this game in my game preview.
Bet: Wings Team Total Under 80.5 | Howard Under 16.5 Points
Pick: Natasha Howard Under 16.5 Points |
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Mystics vs. Storm Odds
| Mystics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-5.5 -114 | 156.5 -105/ -115 | -250 |
| Storm Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+5.5 -106 | 156.5 -105/ -115 | +198 |
This game is going to pivot on Elena Delle Donne. She is as central to her team's success as any player in the league, especially with the rest of the Mystics looking as suspect as they have all season in Washington.
She is currently questionable, but if you have the ability to pounce on the official news of whether she is playing or not, you might be able to be able to beat the books to the punch and bet the Storm spread and even moneyline should EDD be ruled out.
I have more extensive thoughts on this game as well in my full-game preview.
Bet: Storm spread and moneyline if EDD sits
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Sky vs. Aces Odds
| Sky Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+13.5 -110 | 169.5 -110/ -110 | +710 |
| Aces Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-13.5 -110 | 169.5 -110/ -110 | -1250 |
It's kind of crazy to see a double-digit spread between a pair of winning teams, but the Aces have been so dominant this season that it actually does make sense.
That being said, I am still leaning towards the Sky spread in this game. The Sky have been excellent on defense, and while they have been shooting a bit above their heads on offense, head coach James Wade is one of the best in the business at making it difficult for opposing teams.
The Sky have the second-best 3-point defense this season, and that could make it difficult for the Aces to get out and run away with this one. It could also spell trouble for Kelsey Plum, who has struggled to build on her breakout 2022 season this year, shooting just 24.4% from deep so far this season.
While that number will inevitably rise a bit, it's starting to look like last season's 42.0% from 3 may have been more of a one-season outlier than the new normal.
Consequently, I'll be looking at Plum's point total under if it comes out at 16.5 and also under 2.5 3s if you play at Underdog or PrizePicks.
Bet: Sky +13.5 | Plum Under 16.5 Points
Pick: Sky +13.5 |
Pick: Kelsey Plum Under 16.5 Points |
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Sun vs. Dream Odds
| Sun Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-3.5 -110 | 162.5 -110/ -110 | -172 |
| Dream Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+3.5 -110 | 162.5 -110/ -110 | +140 |
This is my favorite spread of the day. The Sun have far outpaced expectations this season, even after losing Jonquel Jones and Courtney Williams. They sit in second in the standings and most recently defeated the Aces, handing them their first loss of the season.
Now they head to Atlanta and are only getting a point and a half at FanDuel. I like the Sun on the spread as well as the moneyline, as the Dream have struggled to build on their promising 2022 campaign so far this season.
The Dream defense hasn't provided much resistance this season after being a top unit last season, and as such, I'll also be looking on Brionna Jones's points, as the former Sixth Woman of the Year is averaging an extra point per game with her addition into the starting lineup this season.
Jones also has an incredibly high floor to her points prop, having tallied at least 12 points in every single game so far.
Bet: Sun -1.5 | Sun Moneyline -145 | Brionna Jones Over 14.5 Points
Pick: Sun -3.5 |
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Sparks vs. Lynx Odds
| Sparks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 162.5 -110/ -110 | -124 |
| Lynx Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -110 | 162.5 -110/ -110 | +102 |
The Sparks are good. It seems to be taking folks a little bit of time to realize this, but Curt Miller has a solid roster in L.A., so for them to basically be a pick 'em against the lowest team in the standings right now is a little off.
The Lynx are better than the worst teams in previous seasons, in part because we are early in the season and no teams have been decimated by injuries/deciding to pack things up for a better draft pick, but the Sparks are the decidedly more talented, and far more cohesive, team of these two.
Nneka Ogwumike is having an oustanding season for the Sparks, averaging 20 and 10 for them, and against an undersized Lynx frontcourt, there's no reason to expect that to change.
I'll be looking at her points prop and betting over 20.5 if given the opportunity.
Bet: Sparks Moneyline -124 | Ogwumike Over 20.5 Points
Pick: Sparks ML -124 |
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