The Dallas Wings (19-11) and Washington Mystics (16-12) meet tonight, with the game set to start at 7:30 p.m. EDT at CareFirst Arena in Washington, DC. The game will be broadcast live on KFAA and can be traded on Polymarket.
The Wings are favored by -2.5 (51 cents) against the spread, with the over/under set at 166.5 (53 cents over / 48 cents under). The Wings are the preferred trading option, while the Mystics will be looking to pull off an upset.
Let's get into my Wings vs. Mystics predictions and picks.
Wings vs. Mystics Predictions, Odds
Wings vs. Mystics Pick
Wings vs. Mystics Pick: Mystics +2.5 (50 cents)
Wings vs. Mystics Analysis, Prediction
Washington already beat Dallas back on July 31 in D.C., winning 81 to 75. Dallas got outboarded 42 to 32 on the glass, led by a huge 28-point game from Shakira Austin and a big-impact performance from Kiki Iriafen.
Also notably—and a bit under-the-radar—the Mystics committed a season-low eight turnovers in that game. They really showed they can control the clock, chip away at teams, limit fast breaks, and turn games into gross half-court affairs. That is exactly what they’ve been successful at.
Washington is the best team against the spread (ATS) in the league this season at 17–11 (by contrast, the Mercury and Sparks are the worst): Mystics are specifically 7–1 ATS as a home underdog.
They’ve already proven they can mess with this Dallas team and slow them down. On top of that, Dallas allows the third-most points in the paint and the second-most second-chance points per 100 possessions.
So I'm going Washington +2.5 here.
Dallas Wings vs Washington Mystics Trade: Mystics +2.5 (50 cents)
