Freedman’s Favorite Celebrity Prop Bet (Jan. 14): Gender of Prince Harry & Meghan Markle’s Baby
Jason Dawson-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Prince Harry and Meghan Markle
- In 2019, Matthew Freedman is writing a new series featuring his favorite prop bet for each day.
- On Monday, he looks at the prop for the gender of Prince Harry and Meghan Markle's baby.
Each day, I publish at least one quick-n’-dirty piece highlighting a favorite prop of mine.
For more information on my research process and the resources I use, see the master list of my 2019 prop bets.
2019 Year-to-Date Record
7-9-2, +5.55 Units
- Golf: 1-1-0, +0.25 Units
- NFL: 3-4-0, +6.35 Units
- NBA: 0-2-0, -2.0 Units
- NHL: 3-1-2, +1.95 Units
- NCAAF: 0-1-0. -1.0 Units
Freedman’s Favorite Celebrity Prop Bet for Monday, Jan. 14: Gender of Prince Harry & Meghan Markle’s Baby, Boy or Girl
The Pick: Girl (-110)
It’s incredibly stupid to bet on a 50/50 proposition at minus odds, but according to the head of public relations for Paddy Power, the gender of the royal baby no longer looks like a coin toss.
Note (4:00 pm ET): This tweet has been deleted.
Here’s how I’m interpreting Price’s tweet: Based on the way they’ve bet previously at Paddy Power, some people seem to have advance knowledge of private details related to Prince Harry and Meghan Markle, and those people are now betting in a way that suggests the baby will be a girl.
If Paddy Power is taking seriously the action of these apparently sharp and predictive bettors, it’s worth following suit.
If you’d rather not wait till the spring (reportedly April) for a bet of yours to be graded, or if you think I’m misinterpreting Price’s tweet, no problem: Stay away from the prop.
Given that I’m betting this solely because of Paddy Power’s statement, I wouldn’t invest beyond -115, and even that feels borderline ridiculous if I’m being honest.