Happy Dinger Tuesday!
Check out my 4 favorite MLB Home Run Picks Today for Tuesday, September 8, including picks for Guardians vs Orioles and Rangers vs Mariners.
MLB Home Run Picks Today
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
|---|---|---|
  | 6:35 PM | |
  | 7:15 PM | |
  | 7:40 PM | |
  | 9:40 PM | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Guardians vs Orioles
This is an above-average spot, and these odds are a bit too high.
Brandon Young has been a plus matchup for righty power this season, allowing a 1.33 HR/9.
The weather should be a plus for hitting, with temps in the low-80s and wind blowing out at 5 MPH.
Adell has had an off year, but the power is still there. I have the true odds here around +440, making this a great bet.
Pick: Jo Adell Home Run
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Rays vs Braves
This is a good spot, and these odds are far too high.
Freddy Peralta hasn't been great this season, and he's struggled heavily with lefty power, allowing a high 1.59 HR/9.
Olson is one of the best power hitters in the league (37 bombs this season), and I have the true odds here around +330, making this a great bet.
Pick: Matt Olson Home Run
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Pirates vs White Sox
This is a plus spot, and these odds are a little too high.
Bubba Chandler has been good this season, but he's struggled with lefty power, allowing a 1.22 HR/9 despite his home ballpark being very pitcher friendly, and the underlying numbers show he's due for some negative regression.
Montgomery has been playing well recently, with three bombs across his past three games.
I have the true odds here around +320, making this a good bet.
Pick: Colson Montgomery Home Run
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Rangers vs Mariners
Seager gets a great spot, and these odds are far too high.
Bryce Miller has been a plus matchup for lefty power this season (1.48 HR/9), but he's been downright terrible since the All-Star Break, allowing a massive 1.98 HR/9 to both sides of the plate.
Seager is having a below-average season, but the underlying numbers are still good.
I have the true odds here around +350, making this a great bet.
Pick: Corey Seager Home Run
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