Do Anytime Touchdown Bets Include Passing TDs? Quarterback Rules for ATD Prop
Photo by Timothy T Ludwig/Getty Images. Pictured: Josh Allen, Buffalo Bills
So you bet an anytime touchdown scorer prop on Justin Herbert. He throws a score to Mike Williams, but your bet didn’t cash.
That’s because the player must cross the goal line with the ball to win this type bet.
Most players are priced at plus-money, but there are the dozen or so running backs or receivers that will be at minus. Books will calculate odds on each player based on their estimated probability.
Factors to consider include offensive volume, red zone usage, recent performance and the upcoming matchup.
When looking at the options for an anytime touchdown scorer at any sportsbook, you’ll note that quarterbacks are generally low on the list with high odds.
So why would the position that handles the ball every play have high odds to score a touchdown?
On a passing touchdown, the receiver is credited for the score. So your bet would have hit if you had placed it on Williams and not Herbert.
The quarterback would need to carry the ball into the end zone — or catch on a trick play— himself to earn the credit.
There are of course the quarterbacks who are renowned for rushing prowess. Those players are still priced at plus-money, but modestly.
Take Josh Allen for example, who heading into Week 8 of 2022 against the Packers is priced at +120. This is because it’s always plausible Allen will run the ball in when the Bills are near the goal line. He’s also racked up 33 rushing scores in his career.
But if Allen’s passing touchdowns were included, he’d be priced around -1000.
Jalen Hurts is next in line at +150 against the Steelers. He’s tallied 19 rushing touchdowns throughout parts of three seasons. It then drops to Kyler Murray at +210 before Daniel Jones at +250 (Patrick Mahomes is on a bye).
From there, bettors may want to consider another position for their player prop outside the few quarterbacks that at least present some probability.