Wednesday College Basketball Betting Data: Contrarians Backing Big Underdogs
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Darryl Morsell
Bettors think some pretty bad teams are pretty undervalued on Wednesday's college basketball slate, and they're willing to take the points against superior competition to prove it.
We'll examine The Action Network's market data to see whether there are any profitable contrarian opportunities, betting system matches and more below. This data is not a blind endorsement of these teams, but a good starting point to your handicapping.
All betting data comes from our public betting page (ticket count is free, but money percentages are available only to EDGE subscribers).
Betting trends are available for free in The Action Network app, while more advanced betting systems are available to Sports Insights subscribers via Bet Labs.
Most Public Bets
As of 3:30 p.m. ET. Minimum 1,000 bets.
- Illinois State -2 (80%) vs. Missouri State
- Tennessee -5.5 (79%) at Ole Miss
- UCF -2.5 (83%) at USF
- Maryland -1.5 (74%) at Penn State
- Baylor -3.5 (72%) vs. Texas
Biggest Betting Ticket/Money Discrepancies
We track both betting tickets on a given game and the percentage of money that's been bet on each side. If there's a big discrepancy, there's likely some sharper, larger bets on the opposite side.
Here are the three biggest discrepancies for Wednesday as of 3:30 p.m. ET. This data will change as we get closer to tip offs (Minimum 1,000 bets).
Valparaiso +4.5 at Bradley
- 8 p.m. ET
- 27% of tickets, 71% of money
- 44% difference
- Line move: None
Boston College +5.5 vs. Louisville
- 9 p.m. ET
- 30% of tickets, 67% of money
- 37% difference
- Line move: None
UNLV +17 at Nevada
- 11 p.m. ET
- 54% of tickets, 88% of money
- 34% difference
- Line move: UNLV +17.5 to +17
EDGE subscribers can get the rest of the biggest ticket/money differences here.
Bet Labs Pro Trend
Over at Bet Labs, we've created historically profitable betting systems for every sport. Tonight, there are seven games that fit a profitable user-generated or PRO system, including this one, which you might have to pinch your nose for:
Team Off Big Loss, Next Game vs. Highly-Ranked Opponent
This system has you betting teams that lost their last game by at least 14 points and are playing a top 5 team in their next game. The thought here is that the market is rating the underdog at its lowest point possible, and the top 5 favorite is always going to get public love to create an inflated line.
This system has gone 101-51-1 since 2005 and applies to Georgia Tech (+18) at Virginia tonight.
You can create your own betting systems, and get access to all our PRO systems, by signing up for a trial of Bet Labs here.
Sharp Money Indicators
Each day, we'll highlight one game from our sharp report page that has multiple indicators of sharp action.
Indiana State isn't getting much love against Missouri Valley Conference leader Drake, but sharp bettors have hit the Sycamores throughout the day. They've triggered contrarian value and reverse line movement at +6 against Drake.
EDGE subscribers can get full access to our sharp report page here.
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