The fourth and final round of the 2026 RBC Heritage gets underway on Sunday at Harbour Town Golf Links on Hilton Head Island in South Carolina.
Matt Fitzpatrick leads the RBC Heritage after the third round at 17-under par. He holds a three-stroke lead over the rest of the field, and it is his tournament to lose entering the final round.
Here is my pick for the RBC Heritage Round 4 best bet for Sunday.
RBC Heritage Round 4 Odds, Best Bet
Matt Fitzpatrick Outright Winner (-125 at BetMGM)
Sunday is likely a two-horse race between Matt Fitzpatrick and Scottie Scheffler. If anyone can overcome the three-stroke deficit, it is Scheffler, but at -125, Fitzpatrick is worth backing to hold him off.
Greenside play is arguably the most important factor at Harbour Town. Last year, each of the top six finishers ranked inside the top 21 in the field in strokes gained: around the green.
No other strokes-gained category showed a similar trend.
Fitzpatrick is one of the best greenside players on the PGA Tour, ranking in the 98th percentile in strokes gained: around the green. It is, therefore, not surprising that he won here in 2023 and is well-positioned to win again this weekend.
Success around the greens at Harbour Town Golf Links is often supported by strong long-iron play. Last season, 22.8% of approach shots came from the 175-200-yard range, the highest distribution of any 25-yard grouping at this course.
Entering this week, Fitzpatrick ranks above the PGA Tour average in birdie-or-better percentage from that distance.
