Updated 2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds & Pick: Jon Rahm Favored Over Rory McIlroy at Bay Hill
Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images. Pictured: Rory McIlroy.
2022 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds
Odds via BetMGM.
|Erik van Rooyen||+6600|
|Si Woo Kim||+8000|
|Charles Howell III||+10000|
|Min Woo Lee||+20000|
As is the case every year, a strong field will be at Bay Hill in Orlando this week for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Jon Rahm returns to the TOUR after taking a week off and is atop the opening odds boards this week. The world No. 1 is one of four top-six players in the world in this week’s field, including Viktor Hovland, Rory McIlroy and Scottie Scheffler..
Winners from this calendar year in the field include Hideki Matsuyama (Sony Open), Hudson Swafford (American Express) Luke List (Farmers), Tom Hoge (Pebble Beach), Scheffler (Waste Management) and Sepp Straka (Honda Classic). Matsuyama’s two wins during the 2021-22 PGA TOUR season have him atop the FedEx Cup point standings entering the week.
The rest of the field was headlined by Bryson DeChambeau, the defending champion who was set to return to action. After opening at 28-1, though, DeChambeau withdrew from the tournament, posting a video on social media that said there wasn’t enough time for him to recover from a nagging wrist injury.
The purse for this year’s API is up from $9.3 million last year to $12 million. That’s tied with the Genesis Invitational as the largest purse of the 2021-22 PGA TOUR season so far.
This week, the winner will walk away with $2.16 million, an increase of almost $500,000 from 2021.
The Arnold Palmer Invitational has perennially been won by some of golf’s biggest names — with a couple exceptions.
Since 2007, here is a list of winners: Vijay Singh, Tiger Woods (four times), Ernie Els, Jason Day, Marc Leishman, Rory McIlroy, Francesco Molinari, Tyrrell Hatton and DeChambeau.
Martin Laird won in 2011, and then Matt Every notched his only two PGA TOUR wins at this tournament in 2014 and then again the next year. Otherwise, this one is usually won by a recognizable name.
In total, Tiger won at Bay Hill eight times, including six of the 10 editions of the tournament from 2000-09. He won those eight tournaments in 14 starts there from ’00-13.
Last week, PGA National was rightfully touted as one of the toughest courses that players will see on TOUR, as Straka won at just 10-under. Bay Hill is right up there.
DeChambeau won at 11-under last year, and only one player in the last five years has won at lower than 12-under. That was Rory McIlroy, who got to 18-under in 2018.
Two reasons for the course’s difficult nature are the thick roughs and lightning fast greens. At more than 7,400 yards, players will need to keep their shots off the tee in the fairway or face the consequences.
Jason Kokrak +5000
After many of the world’s best took a rest week when the TOUR jump from the West Coast swing to Florida for the Honda Classic, the big names are back in the field for the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Many of the TOUR’s best players have thrived at this event over the years at Bay Hill, including recent wins by Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau. My eyes drifted further down the board, where Jason Kokrak is being offered at +5000 to win this weekend. The 26th-ranked player in the world has played well of late, making six straight cuts including his win at the Houston Open in November.
Korkrak has always played well at Bay HIll with three-straight top 20 finishes. He also finished in the top six here back in 2015 and 2014. It’s a course that clearly fits his eye and skills.
Kokrak has become one of the more valuable players on TOUR off the tee but struggles with his wedges. That issue should be eased by a Bay Hill course that doesn’t require the skilled hands around the greens that many other PGA Tour stops do.
Korkrak is a heady value play anytime he slides this far down the board, but especially when the course sets up so well for him.