2022 Valspar Championship Odds & 3 Outright Picks, Including Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, More

2022 Valspar Championship Odds & 3 Outright Picks, Including Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, More article feature image

David Cannon/Getty Images. Pictured: Collin Morikawa.

  • After a marathon at THE PLAYERS, the PGA TOUR heads across Florida for the Valspar Championship.
  • The elite names appear to be remaining in the field this week, and one of them presents value for bettors.
  • Chris Murphy breaks down his favorite early outright picks below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Valspar Championship odds via PointsBet

2022 Valspar Championship Odds

Justin Thomas+1000
Viktor Hovland+1000
Collin Morikawa+1200
Dustin Johnson+1600
Xander Schauffele+2000
Louis Oosthuizen+2200
Sam Burns+2200
Tyrrell Hatton+2200
Matthew Fitzpatrick+2500
Shane Lowry+2500
Abraham Ancer+3000
Brooks Koepka+3500
Jason Kokrak+3500
Gary Woodland+4000
Keegan Bradley+4000
Tommy Fleetwood+4000
Alexander Noren+5000
Bubba Watson+5000
Jason Day+5000
Webb Simpson+5000
Adam Hadwin+6000
Cameron Tringale+6000
Christiaan Bezuidenhout+6000
Kevin Kisner+6000
Russell Knox+6000
Brian Harman+7000
Harold Varner III+7000
Mackenzie Hughes+7000
Aaron Wise+7500
Denny McCarthy+8000
Bernd Wiesberger+9000
Francesco Molinari+10000
Jhonattan Vegas+10000
Lanto Griffin+10000
Matthias Schwab+10000
Mito Guillermo Pereira+10000
Adam Svensson+12500
Charley Hoffman+12500
Cheng-Tsung Pan+12500
Davis Riley+12500
Doc Redman+12500
Kevin Streelman+12500
Patton Kizzire+12500
Alex Smalley+15000
Branden Grace+15000
Brendon Todd+15000
Carlos Ortiz+15000
Danny Willett+15000
Emiliano Grillo+15000
Joel Dahmen+15000
Martin Kaymer+15000
Martin Laird+15000
Matt Kuchar+15000
Nick Taylor+15000
Pat Perez+15000
Sahith Theegala+15000
Sam Ryder+15000
Scott Stallings+15000
Taylor Moore+15000
Troy Merritt+15000
Zach Johnson+15000
Adam Long+20000
Andrew D. Putnam+20000
Brian Stuard+20000
Chad Ramey+20000
Chez Reavie+20000
Graeme McDowell+20000
Greyson Sigg+20000
Lee Hodges+20000
Matthew NeSmith+20000
Michael Thompson+20000
Nate Lashley+20000
Stewart Cink+20000
Vaughn Taylor+20000
Wyndham Clark+20000
John Huh+20000
David Lipsky+20000
Adam Schenk+25000
Danny Lee+25000
Hank Lebioda+25000
Hayden Buckley+25000
Henrik Stenson+25000
J. J. Spaun+25000
JT Poston+25000
Kramer Hickok+25000
Kyle Stanley+25000
Matt Wallace+25000
Sean O'Hair+25000
Sung Kang+25000
Trey Mullinax+25000
Vincent Whaley+25000
Austin Smotherman+25000
Andrew Landry+30000
Cameron Percy+30000
Charl Schwartzel+30000
Harry Higgs+30000
Jim Herman+30000
Joseph Bramlett+30000
Peter Malnati+30000
Ryan Brehm+30000
Stephan Jaeger+30000
Kiradech Aphibarnrat+30000
Blake Kennedy+30000
Andrew McCain+30000
Andrew Novak+30000
Kurt Kitayama+30000
Bronson Burgoon+30000
Bill Haas+35000
Brandon Wu+35000
Chun-an Yu,+35000
Henrik Norlander+35000
James Hahn+35000
Luke Donald+35000
Scott Piercy+35000
Tyler Duncan+35000
Brice Garnett+40000
Callum Tarren+40000
Chesson Hadley+40000
Jimmy Walker+40000
Max McGreevy+40000
Roger Sloan+40000
Wesley Bryan+40000
Dylan Wu+40000
Brandon Hagy+50000
Brian Gay+50000
Curtis Thompson+50000
Davis Love III+50000
Jonas Blixt+50000
Kelly Kraft+50000
Mark Hensby+50000
Martin Trainer+50000
Omar Uresti+50000
Richy Werenski+50000
Robert Streb+50000
Seung-yul Noh+50000
Tommy Gainey+50000
William McGirt+50000
Luke Guthrie+50000
Paul Barjon+50000
Seth Reeves+50000
Alex Fitzpatrick+50000
Greg Koch+50000
Jackson Suber+50000
Austin Cook+50000
Bet the Valspar Championship at PointsBet, get $250 FREE.

The marathon known as the 2022 PLAYERS Championship finally came to a close on Monday evening as Cameron Smith closed it out with some incredible play in his final round. He didn't get it done without some drama on the final hole, but his 6-under 66 held off Anirban Lahiri for the win and a cool $3.6 million. (Lahiri's consolation prize was $2.1 million.)

Many of the players from TPC Sawgrass will have a quick turnaround for the Valspar Championship starting on Thursday at Innisbrook Resort. That is of course assuming they remain in the field as they travel from Florida's east coast to the west. We should have some of that information in a hurry starting on Tuesday.

There are a lot of players where we can throw out the results of the week from THE PLAYERS as they were just simply on the wrong side of the draw. It was so heavily skewed and affected, I don't want to rely too much on those results in the opening rounds and only look at Rounds 3 and 4. I'll be looking mostly for course fit as I identify some opening bets and if they happen to also have some solid results from Sawgrass, that'll just be an added bonus.

Let's take a look at who stands out as a couple of books have gotten ahead of the market and released some odds for the Valspar Championship.

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Best Bets

Collin Morikawa +1200 (PointsBet)

If there is one player where I am completely unfazed by his results at TPC Sawgrass, it's Collin Morikawa. He got the short end of the stick from a draw perspective at THE PLAYERS and it had him leaving on Saturday evening after his second round. Morikawa got a little extra rest heading into this week in Tampa, and that may be of benefit to him.

I was interested in Morikawa last week, but didn't pull the trigger up top with so much value in the mid-range. Now, we get him at just a few points shorter in a good field, but certainly not of the strength of THE PLAYERS.

I'm on board and will look to jump on this one quickly since I wouldn't be surprised to see some of the strength of the field withdraw.

Morikawa sets up as a perfect fit for this course that values hitting fairways and greens. He also rates out as one of the best par-3 scorers in this field and with five of those each round, he will have an added edge.

I look for the Valspar to be his first win of 2022 and jumpstart what will be a big year for the young star.

Matt Fitzpatrick +3300 (BetMGM)

If you didn't believe that I was basically ignoring the opening rounds of THE PLAYERS, I present to you my first buy with Matt Fitzpatrick. I'll wait to see if I can get a little better odds when other books release numbers going into Tuesday, but +3300 isn't bad heading into Tuesday morning.

Fitzpatrick was simply not good at TPC Sawgrass this week, and he played poorly from the better draw. I'm still interested though as he is a great fit for Innisbrook as everything about this course should fit his game including their Bermuda grass greens.

Fitzpatrick is also one of the best par-5 scorers in this field since the start of 2022 and with four of those each round on the par-71 track, he should be in a great spot to bounce back.

I don't love chasing a first win and Fitzpatrick is still looking for that elusive first win stateside, but if it's going to happen it certainly could be on a track like Innisbrook.

Adam Hadwin +6600 (BetMGM)

One player that really showed up over the final three rounds of THE PLAYERS Championship was Adam Hadwin.

Hadwin climbed his way up the leaderboard as he was able to dial in his game, especially on approach. Hadwin gained 4.9 shots on the field with his irons across his final three rounds, and paired it with a hot putter on Monday to finish inside the top 10.

The Canadian won this event back in 2017, when he held off Patrick Cantlay for the victory. Hadwin is the exact type of player that can find success at this event since he isn't hindered by his lack of length off the tee, and I love that he comes into the week with a sharp game on approach and a hot flatstick.

Hadwin is one of the few who I will look to ride some momentum from the Monday finish into a course he is not only familiar with, but has experienced the ultimate success at Innisbrook Resort.

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