2022 Valspar Championship Odds & 3 Outright Picks, Including Collin Morikawa, Matt Fitzpatrick, More
David Cannon/Getty Images. Pictured: Collin Morikawa.
- After a marathon at THE PLAYERS, the PGA TOUR heads across Florida for the Valspar Championship.
- The elite names appear to be remaining in the field this week, and one of them presents value for bettors.
- Chris Murphy breaks down his favorite early outright picks below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Valspar Championship odds via PointsBet
2022 Valspar Championship Odds
|Harold Varner III||+7000|
|Mito Guillermo Pereira||+10000|
|Andrew D. Putnam||+20000|
|J. J. Spaun||+25000|
|Davis Love III||+50000|
The marathon known as the 2022 PLAYERS Championship finally came to a close on Monday evening as Cameron Smith closed it out with some incredible play in his final round. He didn’t get it done without some drama on the final hole, but his 6-under 66 held off Anirban Lahiri for the win and a cool $3.6 million. (Lahiri’s consolation prize was $2.1 million.)
Many of the players from TPC Sawgrass will have a quick turnaround for the Valspar Championship starting on Thursday at Innisbrook Resort. That is of course assuming they remain in the field as they travel from Florida’s east coast to the west. We should have some of that information in a hurry starting on Tuesday.
There are a lot of players where we can throw out the results of the week from THE PLAYERS as they were just simply on the wrong side of the draw. It was so heavily skewed and affected, I don’t want to rely too much on those results in the opening rounds and only look at Rounds 3 and 4. I’ll be looking mostly for course fit as I identify some opening bets and if they happen to also have some solid results from Sawgrass, that’ll just be an added bonus.
Let’s take a look at who stands out as a couple of books have gotten ahead of the market and released some odds for the Valspar Championship.
Collin Morikawa +1200 (PointsBet)
If there is one player where I am completely unfazed by his results at TPC Sawgrass, it’s Collin Morikawa. He got the short end of the stick from a draw perspective at THE PLAYERS and it had him leaving on Saturday evening after his second round. Morikawa got a little extra rest heading into this week in Tampa, and that may be of benefit to him.
I was interested in Morikawa last week, but didn’t pull the trigger up top with so much value in the mid-range. Now, we get him at just a few points shorter in a good field, but certainly not of the strength of THE PLAYERS.
I’m on board and will look to jump on this one quickly since I wouldn’t be surprised to see some of the strength of the field withdraw.
Morikawa sets up as a perfect fit for this course that values hitting fairways and greens. He also rates out as one of the best par-3 scorers in this field and with five of those each round, he will have an added edge.
I look for the Valspar to be his first win of 2022 and jumpstart what will be a big year for the young star.
Matt Fitzpatrick +3300 (BetMGM)
If you didn’t believe that I was basically ignoring the opening rounds of THE PLAYERS, I present to you my first buy with Matt Fitzpatrick. I’ll wait to see if I can get a little better odds when other books release numbers going into Tuesday, but +3300 isn’t bad heading into Tuesday morning.
Fitzpatrick was simply not good at TPC Sawgrass this week, and he played poorly from the better draw. I’m still interested though as he is a great fit for Innisbrook as everything about this course should fit his game including their Bermuda grass greens.
Fitzpatrick is also one of the best par-5 scorers in this field since the start of 2022 and with four of those each round on the par-71 track, he should be in a great spot to bounce back.
I don’t love chasing a first win and Fitzpatrick is still looking for that elusive first win stateside, but if it’s going to happen it certainly could be on a track like Innisbrook.
Adam Hadwin +6600 (BetMGM)
One player that really showed up over the final three rounds of THE PLAYERS Championship was Adam Hadwin.
Hadwin climbed his way up the leaderboard as he was able to dial in his game, especially on approach. Hadwin gained 4.9 shots on the field with his irons across his final three rounds, and paired it with a hot putter on Monday to finish inside the top 10.
The Canadian won this event back in 2017, when he held off Patrick Cantlay for the victory. Hadwin is the exact type of player that can find success at this event since he isn’t hindered by his lack of length off the tee, and I love that he comes into the week with a sharp game on approach and a hot flatstick.
Hadwin is one of the few who I will look to ride some momentum from the Monday finish into a course he is not only familiar with, but has experienced the ultimate success at Innisbrook Resort.