Pebble Beach Pro-Am Betting Guide: 4 Picks Our Expert Loves This Week

The PGA Tour now heads to Pebble Beach for the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am. This is the first Signature Event of the season, where there are only 80 golfers in the field, so there won't be a cut this week.

It was a frustrating weekend at the WM Phoenix Open. We had Si Woo Kim, Matt Fitzpatrick, and Rasmus Hojgaard on the outright card. They were all in the mix at some point on Saturday or Sunday. If not for losing 1.8 strokes putting on Sunday, Kim could have easily walked away with the win.

As I've mentioned a few times already this year, we have to keep the long-term goal of profitability in mind. As long as we keep picking golfers who find themselves in contention, it's only a matter of time before we get some outright winners.

Where is the Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Course Preview

Even though there are only 80 golfers in the field, we have another 2-course rotation on tap this week. Golfers will play Pebble Beach Golf Links in three of the four rounds, and they will play Spyglass Hill in one of the four rounds.

Pebble Beach is a Par 72 that measures 6,972 yards. It's one of the shortest courses on TOUR, especially because it's a Par 72. This is what we like to call a less-than-driver course, as the need for driving distance is certainly negated here.

Golfers only hit a driver on 55% of non-Par 3 tee shots here last year, which is one of the lowest marks of any course. While playing from the fairway is always an advantage, the rough here is very playable with this being a pro-am. Ultimately, off the tee metrics don't matter as much at Pebble Beach as they do at most courses.

The greens at Pebble Beach are 3,500 square feet on average. For reference, many of the courses on TOUR have greens around 7,000 square feet on average. The greens here are extremely small targets. This places an emphasis on approach play and scrambling.

Additionally, putting has been more valuable here than at most courses. This could be due to the easier scoring conditions or the fact that Poa annua greens require a lot of patience. Course history is always nice to see from our outright bets, but it hasn't been super predictive at Pebble Beach over the years.

We don't have to focus too much of our attention on Spyglass Hill since it will only be played in one of the four rounds, but we can cover the basics.

It's a Par 72 that measures 7,041 yards. The greens are fairly small (5,000 square feet) and feature Poa annua grass. Both of these courses are usually on the easier side when it comes to scoring, and we can expect that to be the case this week with calm conditions in the forecast.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am Picks

At one point on Friday at the WM Phoenix Open, it looked like there was a real chance Scottie Scheffler was going to make the cut. About 50 hours later, he finished the event one shot shy of making the playoff.

Even when you think he's out of a tournament, he makes a run. Do you want to hear something crazy? He hasn't finished outside of the top 10 in 48 weeks.

I mention all of this to point out that fading him in the outright market is extremely scary, but we are going to do it anyway.

I love the mid-range options this week.

Viktor Hovland

+2800 at bet365 | 3% at Kalshi

Viktor Hovland was once third in the Official Golf World Rankings. However, he tinkered with too many parts of his swing and has struggled to find consistency over the last couple of years.

He sounds more confident at this stage, and the results have followed — he has seven straight top 25 finishes with four top 10s during that stretch.

Surprisingly, his driver has been the worst club in his bag over the last six months. He has regularly been gaining strokes on approach, around the green, and on the green.

That skill set plays extremely well at Pebble Beach, which is a less-than-driver course. I think Hovland will get back in the winner's circle sooner rather than later and like his number in this week's small field.

Tommy Fleetwood

+2800 at DraftKings | 4% at Kalshi

Tommy Fleetwood has had so many heartbreaks on the PGA TOUR, including a couple in 2025.

However, he never got down on himself and continued to push himself. It was amazing seeing him break through with a win at the TOUR Championship.

Since then, he's picked up another win, a solo second, and a third-place finish on the DP World Tour. He has yet to tee it up on this side of the pond in 2026, but he comes into the week in solid form.

Pebble Beach typically rewards elite iron play and a tidy short game, both of which Fleetwood has in spades. He's third in my outright model this week, so +2800 feels very reasonable.

Russell Henley

+3000 at bet365 | 3% at Kalshi

Russell Henley has rattled off 10 straight top-20 finishes on the PGA TOUR.

He didn't tee it up last week in Phoenix, but he finished T8 at the American Express and T19 at the Sony Open earlier this year.

In those starts, he was elite on approach and around the green, which should play well at Pebble Beach. He's not a bomber by any means, but you don't have to be long off the tee to contend this week.

It's more about getting the ball in play and letting the rest of your game do the heavy lifting. He also has some course history in his corner, as he finished fifth at this event last year.

Matt Fitzpatrick

+3400 at DraftKings | 3% at Kalshi

Matt Fitzpatrick was on last week's outright card and there was a point on Saturday when I thought he was going to run away with it. But a few bad shots took him out of contention.

Still, we should be encouraged by a T9 finish in his first PGA TOUR start of the season. He's been in tremendous form over the last nine months, as he's made 21 straight cuts with a win and nine other top-10 finishes.

If you look at his statistics on the DP World Tour, he's been solid in all facets of his game. He doesn't have an elite track record at Pebble Beach, but he did finish sixth here in 2022.

When is Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

The 2026 Pebble Beach Pro-Am tees off on Thursday, February 5, 2026.

• What: 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
• When: February 12-15, 2026
• Where: Pebble Beach Golf Links & Spyglass Hill Golf Course, Pebble Beach, Calif.
• Par: 72 & 72
• Length: 6,989 & 7,071
• Purse: $20 million

Where to Watch The Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

2026 Pebble Beach Pro-Am TV Schedule

Round 1: Thursday, February 12

• Live stream: ESPN+ (11:45 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET)
• TV coverage: Golf Channel (3 to 7 p.m. ET)

Round 2: Friday, February 13

• Live stream: ESPN+ (11:45 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET)
• TV coverage: Golf Channel (3 to 7 p.m. ET)

Round 3: Saturday, February 14

• Live stream: ESPN+ (11:30 a.m. to 7 p.m. ET)
• TV coverage: Golf Channel (1 to 3 p.m.); CBS (3 to 7 p.m. ET)

Round 4: Sunday, February 15

• Live stream: ESPN+ (11:30 a.m. to 6:30 p.m. ET)
• TV coverage: Golf Channel (1 to 3 p.m.); CBS (3 to 6:30 p.m. ET)

Who is Favored to Win The 2026 Pebble Beach Pro-Am?

Scottie Scheffler is the heavy favorite to win the Pebble Beach Pro-Am at +260 odds at DraftKings as of Monday.

Scheffler finished tied for third place at last week's WM Phoenix Open. Scheffler started the tournament on Thursday by posting his first over-par round since last June, but rebounded to make a ferocious chase up the leaderboard before falling just short.

Rory McIlroy will make his 2026 PGA Tour debut in this tournament and he's the second favorite to win at +1325 odds at DraftKings. After McIlroy is a group of golfers in the +2600 to +2900 range, including Tommy Fleetwood, last year's Tour Champion, and Justin Rose, who took last week off after his dominant victory two weeks ago.

Chris Gotterup won last week's WM Phoenix Open and he checks in at +3700 odds to win the Pebble Beach Pro-Am. Gotterup bested Hideki Matsuyama in a playoff after Matsuyama bogeyed the 18th hole to give away the outright win. Matsuyama is +3200 to win the Pebble Beach Pro-Am.

Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2026: Odds, Favorites

Odds via DraftKings as of Monday