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WM Phoenix Open Round 4 Predictions, Picks, Odds

WM Phoenix Open Round 4 Predictions, Picks, Odds article feature image
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Abe Arredondo-Imagn Images. Pictured: Si Woo Kim.

The fourth and final round of the 2026 WM Phoenix Open gets underway on Sunday at TPC Scottsdale in Arizona.

Hideki Matsuyama leads the WM Phoenix Open after the first three rounds at 13-under par. He holds a one-stroke lead over the rest of the field, but the tournament remains open entering the final day.

Here is my pick for WM Phoenix Open Round 4 best bet for Sunday.

WM Phoenix Open Round 4 Odds, Best Bet

Si Woo Kim Outright Winner (+550 at BetMGM)

Si Woo Kim is one of four golfers tied for second entering Sunday, one stroke behind Hideki Matsuyama. He stands as Matsuyama’s biggest threat, and at +550, there is value in backing him to overtake the tournament leader.

After an opening-round 73, Kim has caught fire with rounds of 62 and 66 over the past two days. He is the hottest golfer in the field and profiles well to extend that strong form into Sunday.

First, Kim is one of the most accurate drivers on the PGA Tour. He has leveraged that accuracy to gain true strokes off the tee in each of his past three tournaments, finishing inside the top 11 in all three events.

Driving performance is critical at TPC Scottsdale. Last year, each of the top three finishers ranked 17th or better in the field in strokes gained: off the tee.

No other strokes-gained category showed a similar trend.

Kim is also strong on approach shots from 150-175 yards. He entered this tournament ranked 16th on the PGA Tour this season in birdie-or-better percentage from that distance.

That metric is particularly relevant at TPC Scottsdale, where 21.9% of approach shots last year came from the 150-175-yard range. That figure was more than 3% higher than any other 25-yard grouping.

A proven winner on the PGA Tour, Kim is capable of overcoming his one-stroke deficit to Matsuyama and securing his fourth career victory Sunday.

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