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National Lacrosse League Betting Odds, Picks: NLL Week 15

National Lacrosse League Betting Odds, Picks: NLL Week 15 article feature image

LAS VEGAS, NEVADA – DECEMBER 16: Jack Hannah #33, Rob Hellyer #10 and Zack Greer #88 of the Las Vegas Desert Dogs celebrate Greer’s goal against the Panther City Lacrosse Club in the third quarter of the Desert Dogs’ inaugural regular-season home opener at Michelob ULTRA Arena on December 16, 2022 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Panther City defeated the Desert Dogs 9-3. (Photo by Ethan Miller/Getty Images for National Lacrosse League)

The playoff race is heating up in the National Lacrosse League and Week 15 has a handful of inter-conference matchups. There are five NLL games between Saturday and Sunday and I have a pick for each.

We went 4-0 in our picks last week for +4.22 units, bringing our season total to +11.83 units won. Let’s try to stay hot this week.

If you’re an avid bettor who’s new to lacrosse or a lacrosse fan who’s new to betting, check out my guide on how to bet on lacrosse for some tips to use when placing a bet.

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Toronto Rock (-2.5) vs. Albany FireWolves

Toronto Odds -290
Albany Odds +225
Total 23.5
Time Saturday, 7 p.m. ET

Odds via FanDuel.

Both the Toronto Rock and Albany FireWolves enter NLL Week 15 off close losses, but they have been headed in opposite directions for a while. The Rock have, at times, looked like the odds-on favorite to win it all (they are on most sportsbooks) and suffered a close loss to the Philadelphia Wings on short rest. The FireWolves have fared much worse, losing their last six after a 2-2 start to the season.

As inconsistent as the Rock have been at covering the spread, Albany has not inspired much confidence to back as an underdog. Instead, I’m looking to bet on a specific player prop, and I have my sights set on Tom Schreiber’s goal total.

Schreiber’s goal total is set at 2.5. He has scored a hat trick in seven of 12 games this season and should have plenty of opportunities against this Albany defense, regardless of who is in net for the FireWolves. Given the matchup, I recommend betting Schreiber to go over his points prop of 2.5 goals at -128 on FanDuel.

Pick: Tom Schreiber Over 2.5 Goals (-128).

New York Riptide vs. Philadelphia Wings (-1.5)

Philadelphia Odds -159
New York Odds +125
Total 24.5
Time Saturday, 7:30 p.m. ET

Odds via Barstool Sportsbook.

The New York Riptide and Philadelphia Wings face each other for the second time in a week following a 19-12 shootout in Philly. The total at some sportsbooks is as high as 26.5, but Barstool posted a 24.5. Most repeat matchups a week apart see much fewer goals scored than the initial matchup, but 24.5 is too low of a total for a game between these two.

Eight of 11 games featuring the Riptide have surpassed 24.5 goals. New York’s defense has struggled most of the season and has shown little signs of improvement. While only four of the Wings’ 10 games have gone over 24.5, since they acquired Mitch Jones, the offense has scored an average of 14 goals in their last four games.

While expecting another 31-goal game may be unrealistic, we should still see a high-scoring affair between these East rivals. Bet this total to go over 24.5 at -118 on Barstool.

Pick: Over 24.5 (-118).

Saskatchewan Rush vs. San Diego Seals (-1.5)

San Diego Odds -148
Saskatchewan Odds +118
Total 24.5
Time Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET

Odds via FanDuel.

Western rivals Saskatchewan and San Diego face off on Saturday night in a game with major West Conference seeding implications. The Seals enter the grudge match as 1.5-point favorites once again, despite losing the last meeting.

We successfully cashed in on the Rush’s 16-11 win over the Seals a few weeks ago, but the Rush have not played well since that win, dropping games to Vancouver and Panther City. While they are desperate for a win and should have a decent home-field advantage, I’m going to pass on betting a side.

Instead, I’m looking at a points total for a member of the Seals. Dane Dobbie continues to deliver for San Diego every week and has yet to record fewer than four points in a game so far this season.

After recording only four points last week, his points prop is set at 5.5 as opposed to the usual 6.5. Juiced at -130, that is still a great number to bet him to go over his points prop. He’s recorded five or more points in six of nine games, making his true odds to hit this mark closer to -200.

Furthermore, in the Seals’ two meetings with the Rush this year, Dobbie has scored six points in each. Bet Dobbie to go over 5.5 points at -130 on FanDuel.

Pick: Dane Dobbie over 5.5 points (-130).

Las Vegas Desert Dogs (-1.5) vs. Vancouver Warriors

Las Vegas Odds -144
Vancouver Odds +116
Total 24.5
Time Saturday, 10:30 p.m. ET

Odds via FanDuel.

The Las Vegas Desert Dogs host the Vancouver Warriors in the third meeting between these teams this season. The Desert Dogs’ three game win streak was snapped last week, but they’ve still played well during the back half of the season, despite not boasting as talented of a roster as some other teams in the West. The Warriors have also played better recently despite releasing Justin Salt, trading Mitch Jones and losing Logan Schuss to injury just a month ago.

The first two meetings between these two were tight, with the teams splitting. Much like some other repeat matchups this weekend, I’m opting to pass on picking a side and once again eyeing a player prop.

Jack Hannah has been one of the league’s best rookies and has been averaging a pair of goals per game. Despite scoring two goals in six of 10 games this season, his goals prop is set at 1.5. While the odds of him going over are juiced to -150 on FanDuel, I think there’s a far better chance he finds the back of the net at least twice on Saturday given the matchup.

Hannah averages 7.4 shots on goal per game and should have plenty of opportunities to score against the league’s worst defense as far as goals against are concerned. Bet Hannah to go over 1.5 goals on Saturday night.

Picks: Jack Hannah Over 1.5 Goals (-150).

Georgia Swarm vs. Rochester Knighthawks

Rochester Odds -180
Georgia Odds +146
Total 24.5
Time Sunday, 4 p.m. ET

Odds via FanDuel.

On Sunday, the Rochester Knighthawks visit the Georgia Swarm in a rematch from Week 1. This may come as a surprise for those who have read this far, but I am once again betting a player prop. However, I’ll be looking to bet a player to fall under his goal total this time.

As expected, the Swarm have played better as of late and Brett Dobson appears poised to be the team’s netminder for a long time. The Swarm should play Rochester tight, and ultimately, I think it will be a defensive battle from start to finish. The Knighthawks’ young goaltender, Rylan Hartley, is having a stellar season and the defense in front of him will get an added boost with defenseman Dan Coates’ return to the lineup.

While Georgia forward Andrew Kew has played extremely well in his first season as a member of the Swarm, his goal total of 2.5 feels too high considering he’s only gone over this mark three times in nine games. While Kew certainly has the ability to record a hat trick, I expect this Rochester defense to be playing him and Lyle Thompson tight throughout and expect Kew to operate as more of a facilitator than goal scorer. Bet Kew to stay under 2.5 goals at -113 on FanDuel.

Pick: Andrew Kew Under 2.5 Goals (-113).

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