Astros vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 14, 2023

Astros at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Houston Astros

11-11

1 - 5

Miami Marlins

8-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Garrett			3.66	9-7
F.Valdez			3.46	12-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 11-11	N/A	N/A	N/A
Marlins 8-13	N/A	N/A	N/A

Monday 10:40 p.m.

August 14, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

HOU -1.5+122

MIA +116

$1.16

F.Valdez u18.5 Outs-155

$155.00

Y.Alvarez o1.5 Total Bases+120

$1.00

MIA +120

1.2u

HOU -140

$1.40

F.Valdez o18.5 Outs+121

1.21u

B.Garrett o4.5 Ks-165

Over 7.5-125

MIA +130

0.65u

Bet to +115

MIA +130

1.95u

Valdez & Garrett have very similar estimators & HOU only 1 pt wRC+ better v LHP than MIA (119/118) - HOU has a decent defensive edge, but when considering just players expected to be in the LUs, it's much closer - MIA pen estimators more than a full run better L30 days (8th v 28th)

Featured Insight
The Marlins are batting just .239 with RISP since last season -- fourth-worst in MLB. Opponents are hitting just .221 (192-for-868) against AstrosRPs with RISP since last season -- best in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Astros are batting .256 versus relief pitchers this season -- fourth-best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .244 (399-for-1,636) against MarlinsRPs this season -- tied for eighth-worst in MLB.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 51-30 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	94-68	43-38	51-30	11-18	82-49
Astros	82-80	37-44	45-36	43-60	39-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	80-79-3	38-42-1	42-37-2	17-12	62-66-3
Astros	72-83-7	36-43-2	36-40-5	45-56-2	25-27-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	79-83	38-43	41-40	15-14	64-67
Astros	87-75	46-35	41-40	56-47	31-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 13th	NYY	W 8-7	-	-	-
Aug 12th	NYY	W 3-1	-	-	-
Aug 11th	NYY	L 4-9	-	-	-
Aug 9th	@CIN	W 5-4	-	-	-
Aug 8th	@CIN	W 3-2	-	-	-

Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Kyle Stowers
LF
Stowers is out with oblique
Out
Max Meyer
SP
Meyer is out for season with hip
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LF.Valdez, P		95	7.2	4	3
RH.Neris, P		8	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Altuve, 2B	3-4	0	1
2K.Tucker, RF	0-4	0	0
3A.Bregman, 3B	0-3	0	0
4Y.Alvarez, DH	1-3	0	0
5C.McCormick, LF	2-4	0	0
6J.Singleton, 1B	0-4	0	0
7J.Pena, SS	2-4	1	0
8J.Meyers, CF	0-4	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-2	0	0
9Y.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Garrett, P	75	5	1	0
LA.Nardi, P	23	1	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	11	0.2	0	1
LT.Scott, P	35	1.1	1	0
RD.Robertson, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.De La Cruz, CF	0-4	0	0	0
1B.De La Cruz, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soler, RF	1-4	1	1	1
2J.Sanchez, RF	0-0	0	0	0
3L.Arraez, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Bell, DH	2-4	1	1	1
5J.Burger, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
7A.Garcia, LF	0-2	0	0	0
7J.Chisholm, CF	0-0	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Berti, SS	1-3	1	0	1
9J.Wendle, SS	0-0	0	0	0