Blue Jays vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 21, 2024

Blue Jays at Padres

8:10 pm • SNET

Toronto Blue Jays

10-8

3 - 6

San Diego Padres

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5
C.Bassitt			4.16	10-14

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 10-8	-1.5+160	o8-105	-107
Padres 1-2	+1.5-192	u8-115	-113

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

April 21, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 8-115

TOR o3.5 Team Total-127

1.27u

J.Musgrove u5.5 Ks-152

0.72u

SD -130

Featured Insight
Blue Jays right-handed hitters have struck out just 14% against LHP this season -- second lowest in MLB. Padres RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs right-handed batters this season -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .425.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .716 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Wandy Peralta has allowed an OPS of just .570 (489 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 12th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Manny Machado is slugging .529 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- sixth best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Jordan Romano has thrown his slider 53% of the time since the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has allowed an OBP of .429 (112 PA's) this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .298 -- second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .400 (6-for-15) against Chris Bassitt's elevated fastball this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .201 -- second Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26
Blue Jays	91-71	49-32	42-39	42-45	48-25

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2
Blue Jays	86-71-5	45-34-2	41-37-3	46-40-1	39-30-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35
Blue Jays	94-68	54-27	40-41	52-35	41-32

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 21st	TOR	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	TOR +105
Apr 20th	TOR	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 8	TOR -110
Apr 17th	@MIL	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIL -105
Apr 16th	@MIL	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -118
Apr 15th	@MIL	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SD -105

Bowden Francis
SP
Francis is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Bassitt, P	93	5.1	4	2
RT.Richards, P	33	1.1	1	0
RN.Pearson, P	32	1.1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3B.Bichette, SS	2-4	0	0	0
4J.Turner, DH	0-3	1	0	0
5D.Varsho, LF	1-3	0	0	0
5D.Varsho, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6D.Schneider, 2B	1-3	1	1	2
6D.Schneider, LF	1-3	1	1	2
7D.Jansen, C	0-3	0	0	0
8E.Clement, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
9K.Kiermaier, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	99	7	3	3
LW.Peralta, P	5	1	0	0
RR.Suarez, P	9	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Bogaerts, 2B	2-4	1	1	2
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	2-4	0	0	0
5J.Profar, LF	0-1	1	0	0
5J.Azocar, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Azocar, LF	0-1	0	0	0
6H.Kim, SS	0-2	2	0	0
7J.Merrill, CF	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	0-2	1	0	1
9T.Wade, 3B	0-1	0	0	1
9E.Rosario, 3B	0-0	0	0	0