Padres vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Padres at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

San Diego Padres

1-2

7 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Ross			3.77	3-6
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 1-2	-1.5	-1.5+152	o8.5-108	-105
Brewers 3-6	u8.5	+1.5-185	u8.5-113	-115

Monday 11:40 p.m.

April 15, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL -115

Over 8.5-105

1.5u

MIL -111

SD -104

1.5u

I hate the fucking Brewers

J.Ross u17.5 Outs-120

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

MIL +118

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +110

MIL +119

Featured Insight
Padres hitters have an OPS of .825 over the last week -- sixth best in MLB. Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of .759 (94 PAs) over the last week -- eighth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have struck out just 20% over the last week -- eighth lowest in MLB. Padres have a strikeout rate of just 21% over the last week -- tied for seventh lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .309 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Elvis Peguero has thrown his slider 54% of the time since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

William Contreras has a hard-hit rate of 49% on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Joe Musgrove has located his fastball inside 46% of the time since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Joe Ross has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (18/47) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (13/47) against Joe Ross on elevated fastballs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	@BAL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL +185
Apr 13th	@BAL	W 11-5	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +124
Apr 12th	@BAL	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -125
Apr 10th	@CIN	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +120
Apr 9th	@CIN	W 9-5	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +115

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	94	6	3	3
RE.De Los Santos, P	16	1	1	0
RS.Kolek, P	26	1.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-5	1	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	2	0
3B.Sullivan, 1B	0-0	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	2-5	1	1
5J.Profar, LF	1-5	0	0
6H.Kim, SS	1-3	1	1
7J.Merrill, CF	3-5	0	2
8L.Campusano, C	2-5	1	1
9T.Wade, 3B	1-3	1	0
9E.Rosario, PH	1-1	0	0
9E.Rosario, 3B	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ross, P	80	4.2	4	6
RT.Vieira, P	45	2.1	2	0
LJ.Koenig, P	31	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, RF	2-4	2	1	2
2W.Contreras, C	2-3	0	0	0
3S.Frelick, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-2	0	0	1
5R.Hoskins, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Sanchez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Bauers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Perkins, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9O.Dunn, PH	1-1	0	0	0