Braves vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Braves at Mariners

1:40 am • BSSO

Atlanta Braves

0-0

2 - 3

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.64	11-12
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-0	-1.5+142	o7+105	-125
Mariners 0-0	+1.5-170	u7-125	+105

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

May 01, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA +105

1.05u

L.Castillo u6.5 Ks+100

0.5u

ATL -126

0.63u

SEA +100 (F5)

0.5u

Need +100 or better

Featured Insight
Braves RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% since the 2022 season -- tied for second highest in MLB. Mariners have struck out 25% since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Braves are 17-53 (.243) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Mariners are 73-14 (.839) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .786.

The Mariners are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

36% of Ronald Acuna strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for 12th highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 45% of Luis Castillo's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 89th Percentile.

Ronald Acuna is batting .319 on fastballs since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 89th Percentile. Luis Castillo has thrown fastballs 62% of the time since last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 33-48 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22
Braves	72-89	32-49	40-40	44-61	27-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18
Braves	72-80-9	33-45-3	39-35-6	46-54-5	25-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24
Braves	76-86	39-42	36-44	55-50	19-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	ATL	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 7	SEA +135
Apr 28th	ARI	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 6.5	ARI -141
Apr 28th	ARI	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 7	SEA -155
Apr 27th	ARI	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	SEA +110
Apr 25th	@TEX	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 9	SEA -118

Joe Jimenez
RP
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Michael Austin Riley
3B
Riley is out with abdominal
Out
Austin Cox
RP
Cox is out with knee
Out
Alek Manoah
SP
Manoah is out with elbow
Out
AJ Smith-Shawver
SP
Smith-Shawver is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Dominic Canzone
RF
Dominic Canzone scratched Sunday.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lopez, P	88	5	7	3
RJ.Chavez, P	27	2	3	0
LA.Bummer, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	0-4	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	0	1
3A.Riley, 3B	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-2	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	1	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	103	7	7	0
RR.Stanek, P	13	0.1	0	2
RA.Munoz, P	27	1.2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Rojas, 3B	1-1	1	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	2
4M.Garver, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5C.Raleigh, C	1-4	0	0	0
6M.Haniger, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7T.France, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
8L.Raley, LF	1-3	0	0	0
9D.Moore, SS	1-3	0	0	1