Brewers vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - April 14, 2024

Brewers at Orioles

5:35 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

3-6

4 - 6

Baltimore Orioles

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Burnes			2.92	15-9
C.Rea			4.29	12-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 3-6	+1.5-112	o9-109	+185
Orioles 0-0	-1.5-107	u9-110	-225

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

April 14, 2024

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+110

1.1u

BAL -1.5-110

1.82u

BAL -1.5+112

1.12u

BAL -192

0.65u

BAL -190

0.53u

… MLB big home favs off bad loss non division Overall: 259-82-0,76% (ROI:10%) Season:0-1-0,0% (ROI:-100%)

C.Burnes o7.5 Ks+138

0.5u

Ballpark pal projects 7.9 Ks and +EV bet with devig odds of +108 odds giving us value at this number. Revenge game 🔥

A.Rutschman o1.5 Total Bases+110

0.5u

Ballpark pal gives an extreme advantage in this matchup and +EV with devig odds of -116 giving value at this number

Over 8-110

Featured Insight
The Brewers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 47% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB. The Orioles have scored first in just 47% of their games since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Orioles RPs allowed a SLG of just .363 last season -- fourth best in MLB. Brewers hitters slugged just .348 versus relief pitchers last season -- third worst in MLB.

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The Orioles are 49-49 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .362.

The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

The Orioles are 29-21 (.580) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .385.

Willy Adames struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- ninth Percentile. Corbin Burnes had a strikeout rate of 30% in the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Brice Turang had an OPS of just .585 last season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Corbin Burnes allowed an OPS of just .598 (784 PAs) last season -- third best among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Colin Rea has allowed an OBP of just .228 (92 PA's) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: .326 -- 100th Percentile.

Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 11% (5 SO in 47 PAs) this season -- tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- fourth Percentile.

Corbin Burnes has located his fastball inside 59% of the time (159/268) since last season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Orioles' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	78-84	37-44	41-40	25-41	51-42
Brewers	88-74	40-41	48-33	43-53	44-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	65-92-5	34-44-3	31-48-2	31-32-3	32-59-2
Brewers	77-80-5	38-40-3	39-40-2	50-44-2	27-35-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	75-87	39-42	36-45	32-34	40-53
Brewers	97-65	52-29	45-36	59-37	37-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 13th	MIL	L 5-11	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -148
Apr 12th	MIL	L 1-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	MIL +106
Apr 11th	@BOS	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -130
Apr 10th	@BOS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 9	BAL -102
Apr 9th	@BOS	W 7-1	-1.5 W	U 8	BAL -130

Easton McGee
SP
McGee is out with arm
Out
Garrett Mitchell
CF
Mitchell is out with oblique
Out
Coleman Crow
SP
Crow is out with elbow
Out

Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	87	5.2	6	3
LB.Hudson, P	4	0.1	1	0
RA.Uribe, P	13	1	0	2
LH.Milner, P	28	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Contreras, DH	2-4	1	1	1
2R.Hoskins, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
3S.Frelick, RF	1-5	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	2-4	1	0	0
5G.Sanchez, C	1-3	0	0	0
6B.Turang, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Wiemer, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8O.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Perkins, CF	3-4	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Burnes, P	98	5	5	2
RJ.Webb, P	9	1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	22	1.1	1	1
LD.Coulombe, P	8	0.2	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	21	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	2-3	1	0	1
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Hays, LF	0-0	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	2-3	1	1	2
4R.Urias, PH	1-1	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Mateo, DH	0-0	0	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6C.Cowser, LF	1-3	1	1	1
6C.Cowser, RF	1-3	1	1	1
7C.Mullins, CF	2-4	1	1	1
8J.Westburg, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	1-4	1	0	0