Orioles vs Red Sox Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - April 11, 2024

BAL @ BOS

11:10 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

17-10

9 - 4

Boston Red Sox

16-13

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Whitlock			1.96	1-0
G.Rodriguez			4.45	3-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 17-10	-1.5+130	o8.5-102	-130
Red Sox 16-13	+1.5-155	u8.5-118	+110

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

April 11, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Featured Insight
Orioles have a strikeout rate of 27% over the last week -- tied for third highest in MLB. Red Sox have struck out 29% over the last week -- third highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 43% over the last week -- sixth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 44% against the Orioles RPs over the last week -- ninth worst in MLB.

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Orioles vs. Red Sox: Bet Baltimore to Complete Sweep
Nicholas Martin•
Apr 11, 2024 UTC
NRFI Model Prediction for Thursday
Billy Ward•
Apr 11, 2024 UTC
Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Thursday
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 11, 2024 UTC

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The Red Sox are just 17-27 (.386) after a home loss since the 2023 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .510.

Masataka Yoshida batted .327 on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Grayson Rodriguez had an average fastball velocity of 97.4 MPH last season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has a first-pitch strike rate of 73% (36/49) this season -- 4th highest among in AL; League Avg: 64% -- 93rd Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 25% (5/20) against Grayson Rodriguez this season -- 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- seventh Percentile.

Garrett Whitlock has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 78.6 MPH (10 batted balls) this season -- 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 -- 99th Percentile.

BAL

BOS

BAL ML

BOS ML

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date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 10th	BAL	L 5-7	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL -117
Apr 9th	BAL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8	BAL +110
Apr 7th	@LAA	W 12-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -119
Apr 7th	@LAA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8	LAA +102
Apr 6th	@LAA	W 8-6	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BOS -115

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 11-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Red Sox' 13 last games at home

MLB Public Betting

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	15-14	4-9	11-5	4-8	11-6
Orioles	15-12	8-7	7-5	13-11	2-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	13-14-2	6-6-1	7-8-1	6-6	7-8-2
Orioles	16-9-2	9-5-1	7-4-1	14-8-2	2-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	16-13	5-8	11-5	8-4	8-9
Orioles	17-10	9-6	8-4	15-9	2-1

Trevor Story
IF
Story is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Nick Pivetta
P
Pivetta is out with elbow
Out
Vladimir Gutierrez
P
Gutierrez is out with elbow
Out
Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is day-to-day with knee
Day-to-Day
Triston Casas
IF
Casas is out with ribs
Out
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is out with back
Out
Vaughn Grissom
IF
Grissom is out with groin
Out
Romy Gonzalez
IF
Gonzalez is out with wrist
Out

Kyle Bradish
P
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
John Means
P
Means is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Rodriguez, P	94	5.2	5	2
RJ.Webb, P	14	1.1	1	0
LD.Coulombe, P	15	0.2	0	1
RY.Cano, P	4	0.1	0	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	15	1	1	0
RM.Baumann, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	1-5	1	1	2
2A.Rutschman, C	1-5	0	0	0
3A.Santander, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3A.Hays, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, DH	1-4	1	0	0
5R.Mountcastle, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	1-3	1	0	1
7C.Cowser, LF	3-5	2	2	4
8J.Westburg, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9J.Holliday, 2B	0-4	2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Whitlock, P	85	5	4	1
RJ.Slaten, P	31	2	1	0
LJ. Rodríguez, P	17	0.2	1	0
RG.Weissert, P	6	0.2	0	1
RK.Jansen, P	19	0.2	1	0
RI.Campbell, P	28	1	1	5

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
1J.Duran, LF	2-5	1	0	1
1J.Duran, CF	2-5	1	0	1
2T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2T.O'Neill, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Yoshida, DH	1-5	0	0	1
3M.Yoshida, LF	1-5	0	0	1
4T.Casas, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
5W.Abreu, RF	2-3	0	0	1
5C.Wong, PH	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, 2B	1-1	1	1	1
5C.Wong, C	1-1	1	1	1
6E.Valdez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, CF	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Rafaela, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
7R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9P. Reyes, 3B	0-4	1	0	0

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MatchupOverUnder
Orioles 17-10	N/A	N/A
Red Sox 16-13	N/A	N/A

BAL @ BOS

Baltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox

Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

Orioles

Red Sox

Orioles vs. Red Sox: Bet Baltimore to Complete Sweep

NRFI Model Prediction for Thursday

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's MLB Bets for Thursday

Keys to the Game

Matchup Contrasts

Today's Starting Pitchers

Orioles

Public

Red Sox

Bets%

Money%

Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Red Sox Injuries

Trevor Story

Lucas Giolito

Nick Pivetta

Vladimir Gutierrez

Rafael Devers

Triston Casas

Garrett Whitlock

Brayan Bello

Vaughn Grissom

Romy Gonzalez

Orioles Injuries

Kyle Bradish

John Means

Tyler Wells

Orioles vs. Red Sox Team Totals