Cardinals vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - June 27, 2025

Cardinals at Guardians

11:10 pm • Apple TV+

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

5 - 0

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Ortiz			4.37	4-9
S.Gray			4.28	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+133	o8.5-111	-127
Guardians 1-2	u8.5	+1.5-162	u8.5-107	+106

Friday 11:10 p.m.

June 27, 2025

Progressive FieldCleveland

Under 8.5-105

0.48u

Backing Sonny Gray and Luis Ortiz, both of whom have solid underlying metrics. Gray has a 3.19 FIP and 3.11 xFIP with a career-low 4.9% walk rate. Ortiz with a 3.98 FIP and 3.64 xFIP with a career high 25.7% K%. Guardians also rolling out a more watered-down lineup without Jose Ramirez and Carlos Santana. Both teams have league-average bullpens so that’s why I’m willing to go the full total over the F5. Projecting this closer to 8.

CLE +110

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Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-115

Under 8.5-104

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-120

0.83u

STL -120

STL -130

0.77u

Under 8.5-108

S.Gray o5.5 Ks-130

L.Ortiz o4.5 Ks-115

CLE +110

0.5u

Bet to +103

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

Bet to 9 (-105)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Guardians are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Guardians are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Guardians' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Guardians' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38
Cardinals	80-82	41-40	39-42	25-42	54-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5
Cardinals	81-74-7	39-39-3	42-35-4	33-29-5	47-45-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46
Cardinals	78-84	44-37	34-47	33-34	44-50

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 26th	TOR	L 0-6	-1.5 L	U 7.5	TOR -136
Jun 25th	TOR	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	CLE -125
Jun 24th	TOR	L 6-10	+1.5 L	O 9	TOR +112
Jun 22nd	@ATH	W 3-0	-1.5 W	U 9	CLE -113
Jun 22nd	@ATH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 9.5	CLE -135

Edward Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Masyn Winn
SS
Masyn Winn (knee) has been scratched Friday.
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P		89	9	11	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Winn, SS	0-4	1	0	0
3A.Burleson, RF	2-4	2	1	2
3G.Hampson, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4W.Contreras, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Arenado, 3B	2-4	0	0	2
7N.Gorman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	1-4	1	1	1
9V.Scott, CF	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	102	7	5	4
RJ.Junis, P	27	1	1	1
LE.Sabrowski, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2L.Thomas, CF	0-3	0	0	0
3K.Manzardo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
4D.Fry, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Schneemann, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6N.Jones, RF	1-3	0	0	0
7G.Arias, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Martinez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0