Cardinals vs Pirates Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - July 2, 2025

Cardinals at Pirates

4:35 pm • FDSMW

St. Louis Cardinals

0-0

0 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Keller			4.18	6-15
S.Gray			4.28	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cardinals 0-0	-1.5	-1.5+135	o7.5-117	-131
Pirates 0-0	u8	+1.5-159	u7.5-103	+108

Wednesday 4:35 p.m.

July 02, 2025

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Over 8+100

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STL +170 (Live)

STL -120

1.5u

Under 4.5 (F5)-135

0.37u

Projecting this closer to 4 earned runs. The Mitch Keller side of the game will be the sweater side, but the Cardinals are sitting Willson Contreras and Nolan Arenado which should help us. Keller has struggled more against lefties this season but St. Louis is rolling out just five in their starting lineup. Keller is allowing a career-low 0.63 HR/9 this season and I’m hoping he can continue to limit homers here. On the other side, I’m going to continue trusting Sonny Gray. The Pirates have been on an offensive surge lately but I’m siding with Gray. His 2.96 FIP is backed by a 2.98 xFIP, and his 4.5% walk rate is the lowest in his career. I don’t see anything fluky in his numbers. I’m going to back both starting pitchers in this spot.

Under 8-118

Cold offenses take under Overall: 809-573-61,59% (ROI:13%) Season:22-19-0,54% (ROI:2%) Under after 1-0 game Overall: 250-176-15,59% (ROI:13%) Season:13-5-0,72% (ROI:37%)

STL -120

1.2u

Away Fav off 1-0 Loss Overall: 71-30-0,70% (ROI:24%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:-12%) away favs off a shutout Overall: 127-59-0,68% (ROI:18%) Season:10-2-0,83% (ROI:45%) Fade dogs off a home shutout win Overall: 212-88-0,71% (ROI:22%) Season:11-4-0,73% (ROI:28%)

PIT o3.5-105

STL -141

STL -128

M.Keller o2.5 Earned Runs-104

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MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 47 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	80-82	39-42	41-40	38-44	41-36
Cardinals	86-76	41-40	45-36	17-34	68-40

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	81-75-6	47-32-2	34-43-4	45-35-2	34-39-4
Cardinals	74-82-6	36-42-3	38-40-3	24-26-1	48-55-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	82-80	44-37	38-43	47-35	34-43
Cardinals	77-85	38-43	39-42	25-26	51-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 1st	STL	W 1-0	-1.5 L	U 7	PIT -155
Jun 30th	STL	W 7-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	PIT -109
Jun 29th	NYM	W 12-1	+1.5 W	O 9	PIT +124
Jun 28th	NYM	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 9.5	PIT +121
Jun 27th	NYM	W 9-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	PIT +120

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Gray, P	78	6.1	6	4
RR.O'Brien, P	20	0.2	1	1
RK.Leahy, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Donovan, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
2M.Winn, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Burleson, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
4N.Gorman, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5L.Nootbaar, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Saggese, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Fermin, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8P.Pages, C	1-3	0	0	0
8Y.Pozo, PH	1-1	0	0	0
9V.Scott, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.Keller, P	97	7	7
RD.Santana, P	16	1	0
RI.Mattson, P	19	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1S.Horwitz, 1B	1-4	0	1
2A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0
3B.Reynolds, RF	0-4	0	0
4N.Gonzales, 2B	1-3	1	0
5O.Cruz, CF	1-4	1	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	1-4	1	0
7T.Pham, LF	2-4	1	2
8H.Davis, C	0-3	0	0
9I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	1-3	1	2