Cubs vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 8, 2024

Cubs at Reds

8:10 pm • BSOH

Chicago Cubs

0-0

3 - 4

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Abbott			3.72	10-10
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-191	o9-105	+105
Reds 0-0	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

June 08, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 9-105

$1050.00

CHC -105

1.05u

A.Abbott u5.5 Ks-118

0.85u

A.Abbott u5.5 Ks+120

1.2u

Abbott is under in 8/12 - and all 8 unders he failed to even crack 5 Ks. And he’s only reached double digit whiffs in 3 games. That should bode well for an under against the Cubs - CHC has the ninth lowest called strike rate, so we should avoid two strike counts. And CHC is at 20.6% K% vs lefties this season, and 20.3% over the L30 days. Good hitting weather tomorrow too (and Abbott has some pretty extreme fly ball rates).

A.Abbott u5.5 Ks+120

0.6u

CHC +100

0.5u

CHC +105 (F5)

0.5u

Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs left-handed batters since last season -- highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have scored 3.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (13 games). The Cubs have allowed 3.4 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB (12 games).

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The Cubs are just 23-5 (.821) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .889.

The Cubs are just 3-10 (.231) after a road win this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.

The Reds are just 1-6 (.143) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Dansby Swanson has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 37% since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- ninth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ben Brown has a strikeout rate of 30% this season -- 13th highest among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 97th Percentile.

Ben Brown has thrown his curveball 51% of the time (94/184) with runners in scoring position this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total CB; League Avg: 14% -- 100th Percentile.

Ben Brown has struck out 46% (13/28) of left-handed batters he faced -- best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 7th	CHC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -137
Jun 6th	CHC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -130
Jun 5th	@COL	W 12-7	-1.5 W	O 12	CIN -148
Jun 5th	@COL	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 10.5	CIN -130
Jun 4th	@COL	W 13-3	-1.5 W	O 11	CIN -115

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	65	4	3	3
LJ.Wicks, P	52	3.1	2	1
RM.Leiter, P	5	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1P.Wisdom, 3B	0-5	0	0
2C.Morel, DH	0-4	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	2-5	1	0
4D.Swanson, SS	3-4	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	0-3	0	0
6M.Tauchman, RF	0-5	0	0
7D.Bote, 2B	3-4	2	0
8M.Busch, 1B	1-3	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	1-3	0	1
9P.Crow-Armstrong, PH	0-1	0	1
9M.Amaya, C	0-0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LA.Abbott, P	99	5	5	1
RE.Pagan, P	13	1	1	1
LS.Moll, P	10	1	1	0
RF.Cruz, P	14	1	0	1
RL.Sims, P	11	0.1	0	0
LJ.Wilson, P	7	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Friedl, CF	1-3	1	1	3
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	0	0	0
3J.Candelario, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4S.Steer, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
6T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Hurtubise, DH	0-2	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.India, 2B	1-2	2	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Dunn, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Dunn, LF	0-1	0	0	0