Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - May 9, 2026

Mets at Diamondbacks

11:15 pm • FOX

New York Mets

17-25

1 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

20-22

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			7.62	2-3
C.Holmes			1.86	4-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 17-25	-1.5	-1.5+140	o9.5-110	-110
Diamondbacks 20-22	u8.5	+1.5-169	u9.5-110	-109

Saturday 11:15 p.m.

May 09, 2026

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 5.5 (F5)-103

1.09u

#EV 2.13%

NYM -108

G.Moreno To Hit 1+ Home Runs Yes+1250

0.21u

#EV 42.61%

M.Kelly u17.5 Outs-120

0.6u

Over 9-115

$11.50

C.Benge o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-113

1.13u

C.Holmes u3.5 Ks+125

THE BAT X is forecasting 3.35 strikeouts for Clay Holmes compared to 4.00 strikeouts implied by the oddsmakers, so I believe there is value here. If you take the under, you'd be projected to win 58% of the time, resulting in a 31% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $30.57. This play is good down to at least -112. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at EV Analytics https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=zdlkmgz

NYM -120

1.2u

NYM -115

1.15u

Over 8.5-120

0.6u

Bet to 9 (-120)

Over 8.5-120

Saturday's Opening Pitch

Mets vs Diamondbacks: Pitching Prop Offers Strong Value
Doug Ziefel•
May 9, 2026 UTC
Saturday's Opening Pitch featuring Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo•
May 9, 2026 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 12-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Diamondbacks' 21 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	25-17	13-8	12-9	8-6	16-11
Mets	16-26	6-14	10-12	11-20	5-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	22-18-2	9-11-1	13-7-1	6-7-1	15-11-1
Mets	15-25-2	9-9-2	6-16	12-17-2	3-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	20-22	12-9	8-13	8-6	11-16
Mets	17-25	8-12	9-13	13-18	4-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 9th	NYM	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 9	NYM +105
May 7th	PIT	L 2-4	-	U 8.5	-
May 7th	PIT	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +110
May 6th	PIT	W 9-0	-1.5 W	U 9	ARI -132
May 3rd	@CHC	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 11.5	CHC +131

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Holmes, P	103	5.2	6	2
RA.Warren, P	17	1.1	1	0
RC.Kimbrel, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Soto, LF	0-3	0	0
2B.Bichette, SS	0-3	0	0
3M.Melendez, DH	0-3	0	0
4M.Vientos, 1B	0-4	0	0
5C.Benge, RF	0-4	0	0
6M.Semien, 2B	1-3	1	0
7B.Baty, 3B	1-3	0	1
8F.Alvarez, C	0-3	0	0
9T.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	96	7	6	1
RT.Clarke, P	12	1	0	0
RP.Sewald, P	17	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	1-4	0	0
2C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0
3G.Perdomo, SS	1-3	1	0
4A.Del Castillo, DH	1-2	0	0
5I.Vargas, 1B	1-4	0	2
6N.Arenado, 3B	1-3	0	0
7L.Gurriel, LF	0-4	0	0
7J.Barrosa, CF	0-0	0	0
8G.Moreno, C	0-3	0	0