Twins vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - June 1, 2025

Twins at Mariners

8:10 pm • ROOT Sports NW

Minnesota Twins

49-53

1 - 2

Seattle Mariners

55-48

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.30	7-6
C.Paddack			4.95	3-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 49-53	+1.5	+1.5-198	o7.5+101	+114
Mariners 55-48	u7.5	-1.5+167	u7.5-122	-134

Sunday 8:10 p.m.

June 01, 2025

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

MIN +1-128

1.28u

Over 7.5+100

L.Castillo u6.5 Ks-130

0.77u

Under 7.5-110

0.91u

Castillo locked in – 2.65 ERA at home, 5 of 6 starts with 2 ER or less. Mariners bullpen sharp – 3.02 ERA vs Twins' 3.58. Twins limp on the road, 13-18 record, hitting just .232 away. T-Mobile Park suppresses offense, wind light, no boost for hitters. Paddack limiting damage – 2 ER or less in 4 straight, but 4.70 ERA on the road still a red flag. Seattle bats cold at home – .216 average, inconsistent beyond homers. Twins’ .238 BA overall, weak on contact. Under hit in 3 of last 6 head-to-heads. Cal Raleigh power threat (22 HRs), but solo shots unlikely to push total high. Mariners offense ranks just 22nd in average. Even with pop, stringing runs together unlikely vs Paddack’s recent form. Game script leans pitcher duel all the way.

SEA -130

0.77u

Castillo’s home dominance is real – 2.65 ERA at T-Mobile, 5 of 6 starts there = 2 runs or less. Twins struggle away from home – just 13-18 road record, .232 AVG away. Castillo also red-hot: 3 straight quality starts, 6 of last 7 = 3 runs or fewer. Command locked in, confidence high. Paddack solid lately, but road ERA tells a different story – 4.70. Mariners feast on mistakes: only .237 team AVG, but rank 6th in HRs. Cal Raleigh tied for MLB lead in bombs, 5 HRs in 5 games – insane power surge. One swing changes this game. Mariners live on timely power, especially at home. Momentum spike: walk-off win Saturday in 11 innings, debut hero Cole Young sparks dugout. Bullpen showed up too – 3.02 ERA (vs Twins’ 3.58).

C.Paddack u4.5 Ks-110

0.3u

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 22-29 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Mariners' 52 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	42-61	20-32	22-29	21-44	20-15
Twins	52-50	27-21	25-29	32-33	19-17

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	56-42-5	25-23-4	31-19-1	34-26-5	20-15
Twins	41-57-4	21-26-1	20-31-3	28-35-2	12-22-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	55-48	28-24	27-24	35-30	18-17
Twins	49-53	28-20	21-33	35-30	14-22

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 31st	MIN	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7	SEA -108
May 31st	MIN	L 6-12	-1.5 L	O 7	MIN -160
May 30th	WSH	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	WSH -120
May 29th	WSH	L 0-9	-1.5 L	O 8	WSH -227
May 28th	WSH	W 9-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	SEA -170

Victor Robles
RF
Robles is out with shoulder
Out

Carl Edwards
RP
Edwards Jr. is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Paddack, P		110	8	10	1
RG.Jax, P		15	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Larnach, RF	2-4	0	0
2R.Jeffers, C	0-4	0	0
3M.Wallner, DH	1-2	0	0
4C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0
5W.Castro, LF	0-4	0	0
6K.Clemens, 2B	0-2	1	0
7T.France, 1B	2-4	0	0
7J.Bride, PR	0-0	0	0
7J.Bride, 1B	0-0	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	1
9R.Lewis, 3B	0-2	0	0
9B.Lee, PH	1-2	0	0
9B.Lee, 3B	1-2	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	97	6	5	0
RE.Bazardo, P	14	1	0	0
RM.Brash, P	20	1	2	0
RA.Munoz, P	27	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Crawford, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2J.Polanco, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Rodriguez, CF	1-3	1	0	0
4C.Raleigh, C	1-4	1	1	1
5R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	0	0	1
6R.Tellez, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7L.Taveras, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8C.Young, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9B.Williamson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0