MIN @ MIA
10:40 pm • BSFLTwins vs. Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Twins 6-11 | +1.5-172 | o7-115 | +132 | |
 Marlins 4-15 | -1.5+142 | u7-105 | -160 | |
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Twins vs. Marlins Game Analysis
Twins vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Marlins are just 104-18 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season -- 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .910.
The Marlins are just 50-89 (.360) vs the 10 runs allowed teams since the 2021 season -- 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .410.
The Twins are just 15-129 (.104) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2021 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .128.
The Twins are just 64-61 (.512) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2021 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .539.
Matchup Contrasts
32% of Max Kepler strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- 14th highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. 38% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Kenta Maeda has thrown off-speed pitches 70% of the time (1,934/2,761) since the 2020 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total NonFB; League Avg: 46% -- 100th Percentile.
Sandy Alcantara had a strike rate of 72% (1,027/1,420) against right-handed batters in 2022 -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% -- 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 54% (333/620) against Sandy Alcantara in 2022 -- 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 93rd Percentile.
Twins vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 3-3 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Marlins' 13 last games at home
Twins vs. Marlins Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Marlins vs. Twins Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
Christian Bethancourt
CBethancourt is out with illness
Out
Braxton Garrett
PGarrett is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
PAlcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jake Burger
IFBurger is out with oblique
Out
Edward Cabrera
PCabrera is out with shoulder
Out
Xavier Edwards
IFEdwards is out with foot
Out
Eury Perez
PPerez is out with elbow
Out
Twins Injuries
Max Kepler
OFKepler is out with knee
Out
Carlos Correa
IFCorrea is out with oblique
Out
Anthony DeSclafani
PDeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Royce Lewis
IFLewis is out with quad
Out
Twins vs. Marlins Box Score
Twins Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK.Maeda, P | 79 | 5 | 9 | 1 | |
| RE.Pagan, P | 26 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| LJ. Moran, P | 15 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1N.Gordon, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2C.Correa, SS | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3T.Larnach, RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4J.Miranda, 3B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5J.Gallo, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6D. Solano, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7W.Castro, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8C.Vazquez, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9M.Taylor, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Marlins Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RS.Alcantara, P | 100 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1L.Arraez, 2B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2J.Soler, DH | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3G.Cooper, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4J.Chisholm, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5A.Garcia, RF | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 6B.De La Cruz, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7J. Segura, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8J.Stallings, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9J.Berti, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Twins vs. Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Twins 6-11 | N/A | N/A |
Marlins 4-15 | N/A | N/A |