Twins vs. Tigers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 12, 2024

Twins at Tigers

10:40 pm • BSDET

Minnesota Twins

27-31

2 - 8

Detroit Tigers

22-36

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Skubal			2.39	18-4
P.Lopez			4.08	15-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 27-31	-1.5+170	o7-118	+100
Tigers 22-36	+1.5-205	u7-105	-120

Friday 10:40 p.m.

April 12, 2024

Comerica ParkDetroit

MIN +100

$4.00

Under 7.5-120

0.6u

Under 7+101

P.Lopez o6.5 Ks+100

0.5u

@The_Oddsmaker

P.Lopez o6.5 Ks+100

0.5u

#Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

P.Lopez o6.5 Ks+115

1.15u

P.Lopez o6.5 Ks-106

Over 7-118

0.5u

Bet to -122 or 7.5 (-103)

P.Meadows u0.5 Hits+110

1.1u

Dude sucks at hitting

MIN +105

0.95u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-150

$1.50

MIN +110

P.López o6.5 Ks+115

1.15u

Under 7-114

0.57u

Lopez estimators low threes, Skubal mid-to-high twos since last year. Both pitchers have good/great fastballs against offense that are below an 85 wRC+ L7 days and struggle against FBs. Both defenses have been above average and both pens project and have performed near the top of the league.

Featured Insight
The Twins have allowed just 2.4 runs per game while trailing since the 2022 season -- eighth lowest in MLB (224 games). The Tigers have scored just 2.3 runs per game while leading since the 2022 season -- fourth lowest in MLB (206 games).

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Featured Insight
The Tigers have allowed just 1.9 runs per game while leading since the 2022 season -- third lowest in MLB (206 games). The Twins have scored just 2.0 runs per game while trailing since the 2022 season -- tied for sixth lowest in MLB (224 games).

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The Twins are 18-55 (.247) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Twins are 35-12 (.745) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .613.

The Tigers are 33-10 (.750) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .613.

The Tigers are just 18-24 (.429) after a home win since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .526.

Spencer Torkelson is batting just .219 against RHP since the 2022 season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Right handed batters are hitting just .210 (147-for-701) against Pablo Lopez since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th best among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a first pitch chase rate of 25% (5/20) against Pablo Lopez this season -- tied for 3rd highest among in AL; League Avg: 15% -- 95th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 44 ABs ending on a two-strike fastball from Tarik Skubal. -- this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

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MLB Public Betting

Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Tigers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Tigers are 10-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Tigers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 10 of Tigers' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	27-31	17-11	10-20	15-17	12-12
Twins	31-27	17-12	14-15	8-8	23-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Tigers	24-31-3	10-16-2	14-15-1	13-17-2	10-13-1
Twins	32-21-5	14-11-4	18-10-1	9-6-1	22-15-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Tigers	22-36	14-14	8-22	15-17	7-17
Twins	27-31	15-14	12-17	7-9	20-21

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 9th	@PIT	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	DET +101
Apr 8th	@PIT	L 4-7	+1.5 L	O 8	PIT +110
Apr 7th	ATH	L 1-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	ATH -218
Apr 6th	ATH	L 0-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	ATH -148
Apr 5th	ATH	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 7.5	DET -247

Reese Olson
SP
Olson is out with shoulder
Out
Jackson Jobe
SP
Jobe is out with elbow
Out
Trey Sweeney
SS
Sweeney is out with shoulder
Out
Sawyer Gipson-Long
SP
Gipson-Long is out with oblique
Out
Beau Brieske
RP
Brieske is out with groin
Out

Pablo Lopez
SP
Lopez is out with elbow
Out
David Festa
SP
Festa is out with shoulder
Out
Travis Adams
SP
Adams is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Lopez, P	98	4	7	5
LK.Funderburk, P	15	1	3	0
RM.Tonkin, P	48	2	5	2
RJ.Jackson, P	13	0.2	0	1
RW.Castro, P	6	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, RF	1-4	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	0-2	0	0
2W.Castro, SS	0-2	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	0-3	0	0
3M.Wallner, LF	0-1	0	0
4R.Jeffers, C	1-4	1	0
5J.Miranda, DH	1-3	0	0
5C.Vazquez, 3B	0-1	0	0
6K.Farmer, 3B	1-2	1	1
6K.Farmer, SS	1-2	1	1
7A.Martin, LF	0-4	0	0
7A.Martin, CF	0-4	0	0
8C.Santana, 1B	0-3	0	0
9E.Julien, 2B	2-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Skubal, P	93	5	5	0
RA.Faedo, P	25	2	2	0
LA.Chafin, P	17	1	3	0
RW.Vest, P	24	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Greene, LF	1-3	2	0	1
1Z.McKinstry, LF	0-1	0	0	0
2M.Canha, RF	2-3	2	1	2
2W.Perez, RF	0-0	1	0	0
3S.Torkelson, 1B	2-4	1	0	2
4K.Carpenter, DH	2-2	0	0	0
4M.Vierling, PH	2-3	0	0	2
4M.Vierling, DH	2-3	0	0	2
5C.Keith, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
6G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
7P.Meadows, CF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Baez, SS	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Rogers, C	0-2	2	0	0