Yankees vs Padres Odds: Moneyline, Over/Under, Props - September 4, 2026

Yankees at Padres

1:40 am • YES

New York Yankees

2-3

2 - 3

San Diego Padres

3-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
W.Buehler			4.63	9-6
M.Fried			2.80	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 2-3	-1.5	-1.5+151	o7.5+100	-114
Padres 3-3	u7.5	+1.5-184	u7.5-121	-105

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

September 05, 2026

Petco ParkSan Diego

SD +117

0.59u

(NOVIG - wouldn't play much lower) - Have Fried around 3.5, Buehler around four and a third. Offenses just about dead even. Proj. SDP def 25 FRV edge. SDP pen quarter run better L30 days, BARTOLO has the gap around 20 teams.

M.Fried u3.5 Hits Allowed-125

0.63u

C.Bellinger Over0.5 Hitter Walks+220

0.23u

Under 4.5 (F5)-140

0.5u

J.Chisholm Over0.5 Hitter Walks+170

0.49u

A.Hays u0.5 Hits+125

1.25u

M.Fried o12.5 Outs-130

0.77u

F.Tatis o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

$1.20

https://discord.gg/rkPcsB3Zs

J.Chisholm o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+115

$1.00

https://discord.gg/mGUuQYSed

SD +1.5-170

0.59u

SD +106

1.06u

NYY -115

1.15u

SD +122

3.66u

C.Bellinger Over0.5 Hitter Walks+220

0.5u

@DerekCarty ⭐️⭐️ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/payoff-pitch/id1615600022?i=1000787872722

M.Fried u3.5 Hits Allowed+105

@DerekCarty ⭐️⭐️⭐️ https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/payoff-pitch/id1615600022?i=1000787872722

Yankees vs Padres: Fade the Public, Take the Under
Michael Crosson•
Sep 4, 2026 UTC

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 46-35 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	91-71	45-36	46-35	40-41	51-29
Yankees	81-80	41-39	40-41	64-66	17-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	76-82-4	37-41-3	39-41-1	36-41-4	39-41
Yankees	76-80-5	42-36-2	34-44-3	58-68-4	18-12-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	91-71	51-30	40-41	51-30	40-40
Yankees	93-68	46-34	47-34	77-53	16-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 2nd	@CIN	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	CIN -166
Sep 1st	@CIN	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 9	CIN -135
Aug 31st	@CIN	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 9	SD -143
Aug 30th	@TB	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7	TB +143
Aug 29th	@TB	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 8	TB +118

Clarke Schmidt
SP
Schmidt is out with elbow
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Gavin Sheets
1B
Gavin Sheets (neck) has been scratched Tuesday.
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Fried, P	72	5.2	4	1
RW.Warren, P	28	2.1	0	0
RD.Bednar, P	14	1	1	0
RP.Blackburn, P	7	0.1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Rice, DH	3-4	1	1	1
2C.Bellinger, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3L.Garcia, 1B	1-4	1	0	0
4S.Jones, RF	1-4	0	0	1
4S.Jones, CF	1-4	0	0	1
5T.Grisham, CF	0-0	0	0	0
5H.Ramos, RF	0-3	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7G.Lombard, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8R.McMahon, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8P.Goldschmidt, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
9A.Wells, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RW.Buehler, P	76	5	6	1
LY.Matsui, P	12	1	1	0
RB.Rodriguez, P	9	1	1	0
LA.Morejon, P	14	1	3	0
RM.Miller, P	22	2	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Taylor, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
4T.France, 1B	2-3	1	0	0
4J.Bowen, PR	0-0	0	0	0
4S.Song, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6A.Hays, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6D.Harris, PR	0-0	1	0	0
7X.Bogaerts, SS	1-4	0	0	1
8L.Campusano, C	2-4	1	1	2
9J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
9J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-2	0	0	0