Eight sluggers (seven of them All-Stars) face off as they gun for the crown of this year’s ultimate home run hitter in the 2025 MLB Home Run Derby on Monday night at Truist Park in Atlanta, Ga. The Derby will be broadcast live at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN2.
There are a number of ways you can bet the Home Run Derby on Monday: outright winner, head-to-head matchups, distance of longest home runs, exit velocity, total home runs and much more.
Action Network's MLB staff is all over this from a betting perspective — you can check out our four Home Run Derby best bets, props and picks below.
2025 MLB Home Run Derby Best Bets
| MLB Home Run Derby Best Bets | |
|---|---|
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our MLB Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | |
For more MLB Home Derby predictions, check out Sean Zerillo's Derby preview, which includes breakdowns for each player and picks for: outright winner, league winner, the final four, finalists and more.
Home Run Derby Odds
| Player | 2025 HR Count | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (Mariners) | 38 | +325 |
| Oneil Cruz (Pirates) | 16 | +350 |
| James Wood (Nationals) | 24 | +400 |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 21 | +700 |
| Brent Rooker (Athletics) | 20 | +900 |
| Matt Olson (Braves) | 17 | +950 |
| Junior Caminero (Rays) | 23 | +1000 |
| Jazz Chisholm Jr. (Yankees) | 17 | +1500 |
Odds via BetMGM
By Grant Neiffer:
I've been researching all day — including reading Sean Zerillo's excellent Home Run Derby preview — but I keep circling back to one thing: the Rays' Junior Caminero to win.
Caminero is drastically undervalued and I'd bet him all the way to 10-to-1 odds.
The Rays' franchise pillar is second in the league in swing speed, which is the most important thing in an event like this. He won't be overswinging and I'm not really worried about him tiring out.
Pick: Junior Caminero Derby Winner (+1200 to +1000)
By Sean Zerillo
James Wood has been simulating Derby rounds over the past week and hitting baseballs to prep himself for the event.
I expect him to adjust his swing path and timing to pull more balls in the Derby. The batted-ball profile is the only red flag alongside the elite power metrics, and he's making a conscious effort to pull balls to right or right-center:
I project Oneil Cruz and Wood as the top two choices in the field.
Pick: James Wood Derby Winner (+400)
By Grant Neiffer
I already gave out one outright winner pick in Caminero, but there's value in double dipping with Brent Rooker at +1000.
He doesn't do anything great — if you look at his Statcast page, nothing necessarily pops out. However, he's pretty good at everything (average bat speed, exit velo, barrel rate) despite not being elite.
Like Caminero, I think Rooker's swing fits this format well and I'm not worried about him fatiguing.
At these odds, there's a lot of value here.
Pick: Brent Rooker Derby Winner (+1000)
By Grant Neiffer
Of all the exactas, this one is pretty wild.
If Cruz makes the finals, he'd be the heavy favorite no matter who he faces. This is too good to pass up.
Cruz is the Statcast darling and is the favorite of all the nerds while Caminero has the underlying bat speed, as I mentioned above.
