The Cleveland Guardians (74-72) and Baltimore Orioles (70-76) meet tonight, with the game set to start at 6:35 p.m. ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD. The game will be broadcast live on MASN and can be traded on Polymarket.
The Guardians are favored by -1.5 against the spread, with the over/under set at 8.5. The Guardians are the preferred trading option, while the Orioles will be looking to pull off an upset.
Let's get into our Guardians vs. Orioles predictions and picks.
Guardians vs. Orioles Predictions, Odds
Guardians vs. Orioles Pick
Guardians vs. Orioles Pick: Under 8.5 (48 cents, Polymarket)
Guardians vs. Orioles Analysis
Sean Zerillo's projections show solid value on the total for this Guardians vs. Orioles matchup, with a 4.1% edge on the under.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Guardians vs. Orioles Prediction
BARTOLO projects the Guardians for 4.21 runs and the Orioles for 3.99 today, which would bring the total under the line.
Zerillo has both starters ranking in the 80-90 range, with Foster Griffin at 86th and Shane Baz at 88th among SPs, but his projections highlight the Orioles bullpen, considering it the eighth-best in MLB.
The first two games of this series might be misleading, as both had totals of 10 or more runs.
However, before this week, both lineups were struggling to produce consistently. In fact, over the last 14 days, Cleveland ranks 22nd in wRC+ with an 87 rating, and Baltimore sits at 24th with 84.
Going back to the starters, Griffin has given up three runs or fewer in his past five starts, while Baz has done so in his last four outings.
The under is in play today at a great price.
Cleveland Guardians vs Baltimore Orioles Trade: Under 8.5 (48 cents, Polymarket)
