The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cincinnati Reds on September 9, 2026. First pitch from UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium is scheduled for 10:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SportsNet LA.
The Dodgers are favored by -295 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +232 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find our MLB picks and Reds vs Dodgers prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Reds vs Dodgers Prediction
- Reds vs Dodgers Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105, bet365)
Our Reds vs Dodgers best bet is Yoshinobu Yamamoto to go over his strikeout prop. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Reds vs Dodgers Odds
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +112 | 8.5 -114o / -106u | +240 |
| Dodgers Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -134 | 8.5 -114o / -106u | -295 |
- Reds vs Dodgers moneyline: Reds +232, Dodgers -295
- Reds vs Dodgers over/under: 8.5 (-112o / -108u)
- Reds vs Dodgers spread: Dodgers -1.5 (-125 ), Reds +1.5 (+105)
Reds vs Dodgers Probable Pitchers
| Rhett Lowder (RHP) | Stat | Yoshinobu Yamamoto (RHP) |
|---|---|---|
| 6-9 | W-L | 12-8 |
| 1.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 4.0 |
| 5.43/5.19 | ERA / xERA | 2.67/3.04 |
| 4.65/4.81 | FIP / xFIP | 3.36/3.30 |
| 8.2 | K-BB% | 19.4 |
| 40.6 | GB% | 48.2 |
| .301 | BABIP | .224 |
| 87 | Stuff+ | 102 |
| 103 | Location+ | 107 |
Reds vs Dodgers MLB Betting Preview
Yamamoto draws about as favorable a strikeout matchup as you'll find down the stretch. He's sitting on a 2.67 ERA and 161 strikeouts across 165 innings (8.8 K/9) this season, and he's been trending up, not down.
In his last two turns through the rotation: eight strikeouts over 6.1 innings in a hard-luck loss to Atlanta, then eight more over seven innings in his last start against St. Louis, a start where he carried a no-hitter into the sixth before a couple of late homers dented the box score.
The stuff and swing-and-miss ability haven't wavered even as the results have bounced around a little; he's punched out at least seven in three straight outings now, and he's doing it efficiently enough to consistently work into the seventh inning, which matters for a counting stat like this one.
The Reds lineup he's facing is about as favorable a strikeout matchup as exists in the league right now. Cincinnati is running a 25.2% strikeout rate as a team, and their offense has been buried in one of its worst extended stretches in decades, hitting .230 with a .707 OPS on the season.
This isn't a lineup that grinds out at-bats or works counts; it's a unit that's been overmatched against good stuff all year, and Yamamoto's fastball-splitter-curveball mix is exactly the kind of swing-and-miss arsenal that group has struggled with.
Dodger Stadium adds a little more helium too, grading out as a slightly pitcher-friendly park (0.98 factor), and with Rhett Lowder and a shaky Reds bullpen on the other side, there's no obvious game-flow reason for the Dodgers to pull Yamamoto early.
Book price of -105 undersells the gap here. Between the recent strikeout trend (16 combined over his last two starts), a Reds lineup that chases and whiffs at one of the highest rates in baseball, and a full workload expected against a lesser Cincinnati arm.
The profile of this matchup lines up cleanly with the 8.7 projection, comfortably clear of the 7.5 number at a price that isn't charging much for it.
Pick: Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 7.5 Strikeouts (-105, bet365)
